steve_janus Posts:310 Followers:5
On 05/04/2013 01:47 PM in Cappers

Saturday's MLB Free Pick: Boston Red Sox +125

Boston vs. Texas, 05/04/2013 20:05
Money Line: +125 Boston

Saturday's MLB Free Pick: Boston Red Sox +125

The Red Sox are showing some great value today against the Rangers. Boston has the best record in the big leagues at 20-9. The fact they lost Game 1 of the series only adds more value here, as they haven't loss back-to-back games in nearly 2 weeks.

One of the big reasons why I like the Red Sox here is we have two starting pitchers headed in different directions, which is why we are seeing so much value. Boston will send out John Lackey, who is just 1-1 with a 2.61 ERA. He will be opposed by Alexi Ogando, who is 2-2 with a 3.38 ERA. However, Ogando is 0-2 with a 5.87 ERA in his last three starts. Ogando's only start against the Red Sox came back in 2011 at home, where he allowed 6 runs on 6 hits (4 HRs) in just 4 innings of work.

Texas is just 1-5 against the money line in their last 6 game 2 of a series and are only 1-4 in Ogando's last 5 starts vs the AL East. BET THE RED SOX!

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