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CFB Game Matchup Report
Monday, 12/31/2018 at 03:00 pm MICHIGAN ST (7-5) at  OREGON (8-4)
All Matchups Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
261MICHIGAN ST 47 19.8 18 7-5 4-8-0 4-8-0 122 221 343 81.3 230.2 311.5
262OREGON -2 37.2 27 8-4 5-7-0 5-7-0 191.3 254.7 446 143.1 247.4 390.5
Preview - OREGON vs MICHIGAN STGame Write Up
It’s a little ironic that the company that put Blockbuster out of business is now sponsoring a bowl game. Blockbuster was one of the first corporate sponsors of a bowl game, running the Blockbuster Bowl from 1990 to 1993. That was in the heyday of ...more
By Jonathan Willis | December 10, 2018, 9:00 am
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
Team Estimate Edge
MICHIGAN ST
OREGON -17 15
Average power rating of opponents played: OREGON 31, MICHIGAN ST 38.8
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN ST Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
in a bowl game 0-0 1-0 8-9 0-0 1-0 10-7 0-0 1-0 7-10
in minor bowl games (played in December) 0-0 1-0 4-6 0-0 1-0 4-6 0-0 1-0 3-7
when the line is +3 to -3 1-2 2-4 29-31 0-3 2-4 27-27 1-2 2-4 30-33
in all games 4-8 16-21 158-165 4-8 15-22 140-130 7-5 20-17 197-135
in all lined games 4-8 16-21 158-165 4-8 15-22 140-130 7-5 20-17 192-134
when the total is between 42.5 and 49 2-3 7-9 48-50 2-3 7-9 55-42 3-2 9-7 60-39
as an underdog 2-3 7-6 70-63 0-5 5-8 69-49 2-3 5-8 48-86
as a neutral field underdog 0-0 0-0 9-9 0-0 0-0 12-6 0-0 0-0 7-11
as a neutral field underdog of 3 points or less 0-0 0-0 4-2 0-0 0-0 3-3 0-0 0-0 4-2
as a neutral field underdog of 7 points or less 0-0 0-0 7-4 0-0 0-0 7-4 0-0 0-0 6-5
on a neutral field where the total is between 42.5 and 49 0-0 1-0 3-6 0-0 1-0 5-4 0-0 1-0 3-6
on a neutral field where the total is between 45.5 and 49 0-0 1-0 3-4 0-0 1-0 3-4 0-0 1-0 3-4
against Pac Twelve conference opponents 0-1 1-1 2-9 0-1 1-1 7-4 0-1 1-1 4-7
when playing on a Monday 0-0 0-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 2-1
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest 1-0 3-1 22-26 1-0 4-0 27-14 1-0 3-1 21-27
after playing a conference game 3-5 11-14 106-112 1-7 9-16 93-83 5-3 13-12 119-100
after playing 2 straight conference games 2-4 9-11 90-94 0-6 8-12 80-72 3-3 10-10 98-87
after playing 3 straight conference games 2-3 8-8 77-78 0-5 6-10 68-61 3-2 9-7 82-74
after a bye week 1-0 3-1 22-25 1-0 4-0 27-13 1-0 3-1 21-26
in games played on a grass field 2-7 11-15 71-78 3-6 10-16 72-66 5-4 14-12 85-66
in games played on a neutral field 0-0 1-0 10-11 0-0 1-0 13-9 0-0 1-0 10-12
in December games 0-0 1-0 7-8 0-0 1-0 9-7 0-0 1-0 6-10
in non-conference games 0-3 4-6 47-57 2-1 5-5 46-45 2-1 7-3 74-37
after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games 1-1 2-4 30-39 0-2 1-5 28-32 2-0 3-3 35-37
after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games 2-1 4-4 22-26 1-2 4-4 21-22 2-1 4-4 27-22
after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games 1-1 5-3 22-28 0-2 3-5 17-24 1-1 3-5 19-31
off a home win against a conference rival 1-0 4-2 38-30 0-1 2-4 29-22 1-0 3-3 37-32
off a close win by 7 points or less over a conference rival 0-1 2-3 19-21 0-1 1-4 14-16 0-1 3-2 20-20
off a win against a conference rival 1-3 6-6 68-52 1-3 5-7 55-41 2-2 7-5 69-52
off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite 0-2 3-2 27-26 1-1 3-2 22-18 0-2 3-2 38-15
off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite 0-2 2-2 20-22 1-1 3-1 16-15 0-2 2-2 30-12
off a home win 1-2 6-5 61-59 1-2 5-6 51-48 1-2 5-6 74-49
after allowing 14 points or less last game 1-2 7-5 61-43 0-3 6-6 47-39 2-1 8-4 69-35
after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games 0-1 1-3 23-14 0-1 3-1 19-10 0-1 2-2 24-13
after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games 0-1 1-4 31-22 0-1 4-1 31-16 0-1 2-3 34-21
after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games 1-5 4-10 43-33 2-4 7-7 30-28 3-3 6-8 52-25
after a win by 6 or less points 0-1 1-3 22-24 0-1 1-3 17-17 0-1 2-2 25-21
after scoring 14 points or less last game 2-2 2-6 24-26 1-3 3-5 19-21 3-1 5-3 34-18
after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games 0-1 0-1 3-4 0-1 0-1 2-5 1-0 1-0 5-2
after scoring 14 points or less in 3 straight games 0-0 0-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 1-1
after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games 0-1 1-2 7-9 0-1 2-1 8-7 1-0 3-0 9-7
after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games 0-0 0-0 4-2 0-0 0-0 1-4 0-0 0-0 2-4
after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games 1-2 1-4 10-28 0-3 1-4 12-13 2-1 2-3 16-22
after playing a game at home 3-3 9-11 81-91 1-5 8-12 74-69 3-3 8-12 99-78
after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread 3-4 10-9 73-85 2-5 7-12 58-67 4-3 11-8 97-64
after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread 2-1 4-4 34-40 1-2 4-4 31-30 3-0 4-4 43-32
after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread 0-0 1-2 16-21 0-0 2-1 13-17 0-0 0-3 21-16
after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins 1-5 8-10 102-86 2-4 8-10 85-72 2-4 9-9 117-74
when playing against a team with a winning record 3-2 9-8 85-72 0-5 6-11 73-70 3-2 8-9 77-83
after the first month of the season 3-6 12-16 116-117 2-7 11-17 102-91 5-4 14-14 129-107
in the second half of the season 2-4 9-10 79-83 0-6 7-12 71-62 3-3 9-10 82-82
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OREGON Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
in a bowl game 0-0 0-1 10-12 0-0 1-0 10-12 0-0 0-1 10-13
in minor bowl games (played in December) 0-0 0-1 6-6 0-0 1-0 6-6 0-0 0-1 6-7
when the line is +3 to -3 1-2 3-7 46-24 2-1 6-5 27-30 1-2 3-8 45-26
in all games 5-7 13-23 174-149 5-7 18-19 143-118 8-4 19-18 234-104
in all lined games 5-7 13-23 174-149 5-7 18-19 143-118 8-4 19-18 224-104
when the total is between 42.5 and 49 0-0 1-0 16-9 0-0 1-0 15-10 0-0 1-0 17-8
as a favorite 4-4 10-13 120-108 3-5 13-10 111-79 7-1 16-7 183-49
as a neutral field favorite 0-0 0-1 7-11 0-0 1-0 9-9 0-0 0-1 8-10
as a neutral field favorite of 7 points or less 0-0 0-1 2-9 0-0 1-0 6-5 0-0 0-1 2-9
on a neutral field where the total is between 42.5 and 49 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
on a neutral field where the total is between 45.5 and 49 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
against Big 10 conference opponents 0-0 0-1 13-11 0-0 1-1 12-9 0-0 1-1 15-11
when playing on a Monday 0-0 0-0 3-5 0-0 0-0 3-5 0-0 0-0 3-5
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest 1-0 2-1 28-14 0-1 1-2 14-22 1-0 2-1 32-13
after playing a conference game 4-4 10-15 120-98 3-5 12-13 95-89 5-3 11-14 150-75
after playing 2 straight conference games 3-4 8-14 97-81 2-5 9-13 80-72 4-3 9-13 126-58
after playing 3 straight conference games 2-4 7-12 84-66 2-4 8-11 70-60 3-3 8-11 109-43
after a bye week 1-0 2-2 31-20 0-1 2-2 18-27 1-0 2-2 37-17
in games played on a grass field 0-0 0-4 57-36 0-0 0-4 39-40 0-0 0-4 58-36
in games played on a neutral field 0-0 0-1 12-14 0-0 1-0 13-13 0-0 0-1 13-14
in December games 0-0 0-1 8-10 0-0 1-0 9-9 0-0 0-1 11-8
in non-conference games 1-2 3-6 50-48 1-2 5-5 46-29 3-0 8-2 83-28
after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games 3-3 6-12 36-47 3-3 8-10 37-31 4-2 7-11 51-36
after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games 2-1 7-7 26-17 1-2 6-8 18-21 2-1 7-7 28-16
after having won 2 out of their last 3 games 3-2 5-5 53-41 1-4 5-5 44-32 3-2 5-5 67-31
after having won 3 out of their last 4 games 2-1 3-3 47-37 1-2 3-3 38-35 2-1 3-3 60-27
off a road win against a conference rival 1-0 1-1 36-28 0-1 0-2 28-28 1-0 1-1 46-18
off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival 1-1 2-5 61-43 1-1 3-4 51-43 1-1 2-5 73-33
off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival 0-1 0-4 33-30 1-0 2-2 31-30 0-1 0-4 43-21
off a huge blowout win by 35 points or more over a conference rival 0-0 0-1 13-11 0-0 1-0 13-9 0-0 0-1 17-7
off a win against a conference rival 2-2 3-7 83-64 1-3 3-7 65-64 2-2 3-7 104-46
off 2 straight wins against conference rivals 0-1 0-2 51-36 0-1 1-1 40-38 0-1 0-2 66-22
after a cover as a double digit favorite 0-2 0-6 35-29 1-1 3-3 30-29 1-1 2-4 50-17
off a double digit road win 1-0 1-1 30-17 0-1 0-2 22-20 1-0 1-1 37-12
off a road blowout win by 28 points or more 0-0 0-1 8-8 0-0 0-1 6-9 0-0 0-1 10-6
off a road win 1-0 1-2 42-36 0-1 0-3 34-29 1-0 1-2 59-22
after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game 0-0 0-0 41-13 0-0 0-0 24-14 0-0 0-0 47-9
after a win by 17 or more points 1-3 2-10 74-56 1-3 4-9 58-57 3-1 6-7 98-36
after a win by 21 or more points 0-3 0-9 56-47 1-2 3-6 49-46 2-1 4-5 78-27
after a win by 28 or more points 0-2 0-5 38-29 0-2 2-3 34-28 2-0 3-2 53-16
after a win by 35 or more points 0-1 0-4 27-20 0-1 2-2 23-19 1-0 2-2 37-11
after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half 2-2 3-3 30-9 2-2 2-5 20-18 3-1 4-3 32-8
after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half 2-2 3-6 49-36 1-3 3-7 42-35 4-0 7-3 69-20
after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games 2-2 4-9 69-57 2-2 7-7 63-54 3-1 5-9 87-42
after scoring 37 points or more last game 1-3 4-11 83-69 1-3 6-10 68-66 3-1 8-8 113-44
after scoring 42 points or more last game 1-3 4-9 71-56 1-3 5-9 59-54 3-1 8-6 99-32
after scoring 50 points or more last game 0-2 0-6 35-27 0-2 2-4 26-31 2-0 4-2 48-15
after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games 2-3 3-7 55-34 2-3 5-6 46-40 3-2 4-7 64-26
after playing their last game on the road 2-2 6-8 63-69 1-3 7-7 57-45 3-1 7-7 93-45
after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread 1-3 2-10 91-77 1-3 4-8 70-65 2-2 4-8 126-50
after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins 2-5 4-13 120-98 2-5 5-13 95-89 4-3 8-10 165-63
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins 0-3 1-5 86-65 1-2 2-5 66-63 1-2 2-5 114-41
when playing against a team with a winning record 2-4 7-12 87-70 3-3 10-9 68-66 3-3 8-11 98-62
after the first month of the season 4-4 10-15 123-105 3-5 12-13 96-91 5-3 11-14 150-83
in the second half of the season 2-4 7-11 84-79 2-4 8-10 71-64 3-3 8-10 109-56
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Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
MICHIGAN ST Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Last 3 Games 1-2 -2.05 0-3 0-3 8.667 4.333 291 3.846 2.333 15 4.667 270.667 3.98 2
Grass 5-4 -2.9 2-7 3-6 19.111 8.444 346.778 4.707 1.444 20.333 8 343.222 5.056 1.889
Road Games 3-2 3.2 3-2 1-4 19.8 8.8 358 4.864 2 13.2 4.8 294 4.336 1.6
All 7-5 -1.95 4-8 4-8 19.75 9.167 343 4.699 1.75 18 6.833 311.5 4.621 1.917
Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
OREGON Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Last 3 Games 2-1 1 1-2 1-2 37 18.667 454.667 6.286 1.667 25.333 11.667 384.667 5.294 1.667
Home Games 6-1 2.55 3-4 3-4 41.286 26.143 479 6.186 1.857 25 10.571 366.286 5.19 1.429
All 8-4 -0.95 5-7 5-7 37.167 20.583 445.917 6.033 1.5 27 13 390.5 5.386 1.833
MICHIGAN ST Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 19.8 9.2 20.3 32.44 35-122 (3.5) 19-38 51% 221 (5.8) 73-343 4.7 17.4
Opponents Defensive Avg. 26.4 13.3 20.9 30.88 39-172 (4.4) 18-32 57.1% 217.5 (6.8) 71-389 5.5 14.7
Offense Road Games 19.8 8.8 20.8 33.85 37-146 (3.9) 19-36 51.4% 212.2 (5.9) 74-358 4.9 18.1
Defense (All Games) 18 6.8 16.8 27.56 30-81 (2.7) 22-37 58.8% 230.2 (6.2) 67-312 4.6 17.3
Opponents Offensive Avg. 26.4 13.3 20.9 30.88 39-172 (4.4) 18-32 57.1% 217.5 (6.8) 71-389 5.5 14.7
Defense Road Games 13.2 4.8 16.4 26.15 30-81 (2.7) 21-37 56.1% 212.6 (5.7) 68-294 4.3 22.3
OREGON Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 37.2 20.6 22.3 28.42 42-191 (4.6) 19-32 59% 254.7 (7.9) 74-446 6 12
Opponents Defensive Avg. 31.9 16.8 21.9 29.93 39-184 (4.7) 19-31 61.3% 238.7 (7.6) 71-422 6 13.2
Offense Road Games 41.3 26.1 23.6 28.79 46-198 (4.3) 19-32 59.2% 281.3 (8.8) 77-479 6.2 11.6
Defense (All Games) 27 13 21.1 31.57 38-143 (3.8) 20-34 56.9% 247.4 (7.2) 73-391 5.4 14.5
Opponents Offensive Avg. 31.9 16.8 21.9 29.93 39-184 (4.7) 19-31 61.3% 238.7 (7.6) 71-422 6 13.2
Defense Road Games 25 10.6 18.7 31.21 38-120 (3.1) 17-33 53.5% 246.7 (7.6) 71-366 5.2 14.7
MICHIGAN ST Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 1.1 0.7 1.8 0.2 15-5 33.2% 2-0 38.9% 1-34 (23.6) 2-10 (6.6) 6-56
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 1 0.7 1.7 2 15-6 38.3% 2-1 52.2% 2-50 (20.3) 13-2 (8.2) 6-61
Stats For (Road Games) 1.4 0.6 2 -0.4 16-5 32.1% 1-1 57.1% 1-25 (31.5) 2-10 (5.8) 6-59
Stats Against (All Games) 1.2 0.8 1.9 0 15-5 31.5% 1-1 37.5% 2-40 (18.3) 2-12 (5.3) 6-52
Opponents Avg. Stats For 1 0.6 1.6 0 14-6 40.1% 1-1 52.6% 2-49 (20.6) 13-2 (7.6) 7-62
Stats Against (Road Games) 0.6 1 1.6 0 15-4 26.7% 2-0 22.2% 2-37 (18.6) 2-13 (5.5) 5-47
OREGON Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 0.7 0.8 1.5 0.3 15-7 45.1% 2-0 63% 3-53 (20.7) 2-21 (12.1) 5-51
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 0.8 0.6 1.4 2 14-6 41.4% 2-1 60.2% 2-39 (21.2) 17-2 (10.2) 6-58
Stats For (Home Games) 1 0.9 1.9 -0.4 16-8 48.6% 2-2 68.8% 3-68 (21.5) 2-32 (14.1) 5-46
Stats Against (All Games) 1.3 0.5 1.8 0 15-6 37% 2-1 45.5% 4-79 (22.6) 1-7 (8.6) 6-46
Opponents Avg. Stats For 1.1 0.5 1.6 0 15-6 37.6% 2-1 57.2% 2-47 (20.7) 11-1 (8.1) 6-55
Stats Against (Home Games) 0.9 0.6 1.4 0 15-5 31.4% 2-1 40% 3-76 (22) 1-1 (1) 6-44
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MICHIGAN ST Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
11/24/2018 RUTGERS 14-10 W -24 W 37.5 U 38-137 19-44-173 3 35-108 9-18-109 2
11/17/2018 @NEBRASKA 6-9 L 1 L 48 U 30-103 16-37-145 0 38-143 15-41-146 3
11/10/2018 OHIO ST 6-26 L 3 L 52 U 18-54 18-48-220 2 45-120 24-39-227 0
11/03/2018 @MARYLAND 24-3 W -3.5 W 43.5 U 29-26 8-24-74 1 46-269 11-22-87 1
10/27/2018 PURDUE 23-13 W 2 W 49 U 40-108 26-46-318 2 13-62 29-49-277 1
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OREGON Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
11/23/2018 @OREGON ST 55-15 W -18 W 71 U 28-54 21-39-282 1 62-392 10-14-118 0
11/17/2018 ARIZONA ST 31-29 W -3.5 W 66 U 41-187 19-34-262 1 41-142 15-32-182 4
11/10/2018 @UTAH 25-32 L 6 L 50.5 O 47-232 18-31-262 1 32-117 20-34-288 0
11/03/2018 UCLA 42-21 W -10.5 W 59 O 42-200 19-33-292 1 38-199 23-49-297 1
10/27/2018 @ARIZONA 15-44 L -8.5 L 66 U 51-276 19-33-189 1 23-84 24-48-186 2
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Team Line Action
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OREGON games 56.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 59.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OREGON games 51.4% of the time since 1992. (145-137)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 52% of the time since 1992. (146-135)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in OREGON games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 73% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-10)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in OREGON games 47.2% of the time since 1992. (108-121)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.9% of the time since 1992. (135-111)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
  Rushing Passing Turnovers Penalties
Date Teams Score Line Result Half FD TOP ATT-YDS CMP-ATT YDS FL INT PEN-YDS
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{MATCH_UP_INJURIES}