Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings ATS Odds Pick 12/28/19


The Phoenix Suns (11-20) clash with the Sacramento Kings (12-19) will try to put an end to their losing streaks when they go head-to-head at Golden 1 Center. The Suns have lost their last eight games, while the Kings have lost five games in a row. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 28, 2019, and it can be seen on NBC Sports – California.

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Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings ATS Preview

In the Suns’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Golden State Warriors, 105-96, despite being 2.5-point favorites. With 34 points on 13-for-24 shooting, Devin Booker was the top scorer from either team. Golden State had a turnover percentage of 8.8 (better than their season average of 12.6). Phoenix, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.8 (above their season average of 20.7). The two teams combined to put up 201 points, which finished well under the projected point total of 219.

The Kings failed to cover as 7-point favorites in their 105-104 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Richaun Holmes was Sacramento’s leading scorer with 20 points on 9-for-15 shooting. Minnesota did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (23-29; 79.3 percent). Sacramento, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.9 vs. 21.5). Combined, the two clubs scored 209 points, which was under the O/U total of 220.

These two teams have met twice already this year, each winning once. Booker had 30 points, eight assists and five rebounds in the most recent matchup, in which the Suns lost 120-116, unable to cover as 3-point underdogs. The two teams combined for 236 points, which was 16.5 points above the projected point total of 219.5 points. Sacramento was lights out from beyond the arc (13-31; 41.9 percent). Phoenix, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (8.8 vs. 16.7).

In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Games involving Phoenix have gone over 60.0 percent of the time, while Sacramento games have gone under 61.3 percent of the time. Both teams have very similar records straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS). The Suns are 11-20 SU and 16-13-1 ATS, while the Kings are 12-19 SU and 16-15 ATS.

It could be an error-filled game for the Sacramento offense. Sacramento ranks 20th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.5 percent), while the pesky defense of Phoenix forces the second-most turnovers in the NBA (15.4 percent).

Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings Odds Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Kings rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.8) while the Suns rank 15th (12.9).

Phoenix ranks third in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while Sacramento ranks 13th (17.5).

Sacramento ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.4) while Phoenix ranks 12th (12.6).

Phoenix ranks 16th in steals per game (7.8) while Sacramento ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.1).

Phoenix is 7-5 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 5-8 ATS at home.

The Suns have 7 unders and 5 overs in 12 road games.

The Kings have 9 unders and 4 overs in 13 home games.

In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Phoenix is 2-2 and Sacramento is 6-2.

The Kings are 11-13 when they reach the century mark, while the Suns are 11-16.

The Suns rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (31.5) while the Kings rank 14th (33.5).

Phoenix ranks first in assists per game (28.2) while Sacramento ranks 23rd (22.3).

The Suns rank eighth in points in the paint per game (48.5) while the Kings rank 28th (43.2).

The Kings rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.2) while the Suns rank 14th (45.5).

Sacramento ranks 12th in blocks allowed per game (4.8) while Phoenix ranks 26th (5.7).

Bettings Trends:

Sacramento is 0-5 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Across its past five outings, Phoenix is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.2, up from 2.9 for the season.

During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 107.8 points per game (6.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 120.6 points per game (5.4 above their season average).

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