The Phoenix Suns (4-20), who are currently on a six-game skid, will attempt to get back in the win column when they travel to Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to go head-to-head against the Portland Trail Blazers (13-11). Portland opened as a 14-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 215 points. Action starts at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 6, 2018, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona.
Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trail Blazers Odds Preview
In the Suns’ last game, they fell to the Sacramento Kings, 122-105. They failed to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. With 21 points on 9-for-12 shooting, De’Anthony Melton was the top scorer from either team. Sacramento forced the Suns into a turnover percentage of 17.9 (above their season average of 14.6). Phoenix, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.3 (above their season average of 18.1). The two teams combined to put up 227 points, which finished over the O/U total of 222.5.
The Trail Blazers were unable to cover as 2.5-point underdogs in their 111-102 loss to the Dallas Mavericks in their last matchup. Damian Lillard was the game’s high scorer with 33 points on 10-for-23 shooting. Dallas’ 11.3 turnover percentage was their largest strength over Portland, who had a rate of 16.1. The Mavericks’ mark was better than their season average of 14.1, while the Trail Blazers’ was above their season average of 12.4. Combined, the two teams scored 213 points, which finished under the O/U total of 217.5.
The productive offense of Portland (eighth in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 109.6) will battle against the mid-tier defense of Phoenix (28th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 111.5). The Trail Blazers figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. Furthermore, the Suns, who rank 28th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.175), could struggle to get to the line against the Trail Blazers, who rank third in opponents’ FTA rate (0.176).
In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Games featuring Phoenix have gone under 58.3 percent of the time, while 58.3 percent of Portland games have finished over. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Trail Blazers have a substantial advantage. They are 13-11 SU and 11-13 ATS, while the Suns are 4-20 SU and 8-16 ATS.
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Trail Blazers won all four games played against each other last season. In the most recent contest, Portland won 106-104. The Trail Blazers dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a ridiculously low turnover percentage of 5.1 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.1. For those same stats, the Suns recorded marks of 11.9 and 14.3, respectively.
Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trail Blazers Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
The Trail Blazers rank 14th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while the Suns rank 29th (9.5).
Phoenix ranks 4 in three pointers allowed per game (28.291666666666668) while Portland ranks 15 (30.958333333333332).
Portland ranks 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.7) while Phoenix ranks last (17.7).
Portland ranks 24 in blocks per game (4.541666666666667) while Phoenix ranks 26 (4.125).
Portland is 7-5 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 3-9 ATS on the road.
The total has gone over in 6 of the Suns’ 12 road games, while 6 of the Trail Blazers’ 12 home games have gone over.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Phoenix is 1-1 and Portland is 4-0.
The Trail Blazers are 13-9 when they reach the century mark, while the Suns are 4-11.
The Trail Blazers rank 11 in second chance points per game (14.083333333333334) while the Suns rank 25 (9.875).
Portland ranks second in rebounds per game (49.1) while Phoenix ranks 29th (39.9).
The Trail Blazers rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.1) while the Suns rank 29th (20.6).
The Suns rank 18 in assists per game (23.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 28 (20.708333333333332).
Portland ranks 10th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.8) while Phoenix ranks last (53.3).
Portland is 0-5 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its past five games, Phoenix is 0-5 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Trail Blazers have been outscored by an average of 4.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Portland has defeated opponents by an average of 0.8 points.
During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 97.8 points per game (5.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (1.0 below their season average).
$60 in FREE Premium Picks
Get $60 in FREE premium member picks from Doc’s Sports Service
One of the most trusted names in handicapping since 1971! No salesmen – No obligation