Phoenix Suns at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Pick 03/09/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-03-09

The Portland Trail Blazers (39-26) will be at home in Moda Center at the Rose Quarter when they take on the Phoenix Suns (15-51). Portland opened as a 12.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 229.5 points. Action starts at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 9, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Arizona Plus.

Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview

The last time the Suns played, they were victorious over the New York Knicks, 107-96, comfortably covering as 3-point favorites. Devin Booker was the top scorer from either team with 41 points on 14-for-23 shooting. The Suns forced 21 turnovers and held the Knicks to an effective field goal percentage of 0.494 (below the 0.545 mark opponents have averaged against Phoenix this season). The two teams combined to put up 203 points, which was well under the projected point total of 226.5.

The Trail Blazers were unable to cover as 3.5-point favorites in their 129-121 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last matchup. Damian Lillard was the game’s leading scorer with 51 points on 15-for-28 shooting. Oklahoma City had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.2 vs. 25.0). Portland, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (38-47; 80.9 percent). The two clubs collectively scored 250 points, which came in well over the O/U total of 233.5.

These two teams have met twice already this year, with the Trail Blazers winning both. Lillard had 24 points in the most recent matchup, in which the Trail Blazers defeated the Suns 120-106, covering as 8.5-point favorites. The two teams combined to put up 226 points, which was 5.5 points above the projected point total of 220.5 points. The Trail Blazers dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 31.8 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.532. The Suns recorded marks of 18.8 and 0.483, respectively, for those same stats.

Of Phoenix’s 66 games, 37 have finished under the O/U total, while 35 of Portland’s 65 games have finished over the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Trail Blazers have a significant advantage. They are 39-26 SU and 37-28 ATS, while the Suns are 15-51 SU and 29-37 ATS.

Look for Portland to own the offensive glass in this meeting. The Trail Blazers rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (25.6 percent), while Phoenix ranks 30th in defensive rebounding percentage (73.1 percent).

Phoenix Suns at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

The Trail Blazers rank sixth in assists allowed per game (23.1) while the Suns rank 28th (25.9).

Portland ranks 19th in fast break points allowed per game (14.2) while Phoenix ranks 28th (16.6).

Phoenix ranks second in steals per game (9.2) while Portland ranks 23rd (6.8).

Phoenix averages 5.1 blocks per game, which ranks 17th in the league. Portland ranks 18th in blocks allowed per game (5.2).

Phoenix is 13-20 ATS on the road with 17 unders and 16 overs.

Portland is 21-12 ATS at home with 18 overs and 15 unders.

When holding opponents under 100 points, Portland is 10-1 and Phoenix is 5-1.

When scoring above 100 points, the Trail Blazers are 37-21 and the Suns are 14-33.

The Trail Blazers rank ninth in points allowed in the paint per game (47.4) while the Suns rank last (52.8).

Portland ranks third in rebounds per game (47.6) while Phoenix ranks last (40.2).

The Trail Blazers average 14.6 second chance points per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Suns rank 29th in second chance points allowed per game (15.2).

The Suns rank third in three pointers allowed per game (29.4) while the Trail Blazers rank eighth (29.9).

Portland ranks sixth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.1) while Phoenix ranks 29th (19.7).

Bettings Trends:

Portland is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.

Over its past five games, Phoenix is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Trail Blazers have been outscored by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Portland has defeated opponents by an average of 3.2 points.

During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 115.8 points per game (9.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.2 points per game (3.6 below their season average).

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(507) TORONTO @ (508) MILWAUKEE | 8:30 pm 5/23/2019

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