Phoenix Suns vs. Orlando Magic ATS Odds Pick 12/04/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-12-04

The Orlando Magic (9-11) will be at home in the Amway Center when they clash against the Phoenix Suns (9-10). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 215 points with Phoenix opening as a 1.5-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona.

Phoenix Suns at Orlando Magic Free Preview

The Suns defeated the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing, 109-104, covering as 4-point favorites. With 16 points and 10 rebounds, Dario Saric put together a good outing for Phoenix. Phoenix played a nearly flawless game. They had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 6.5 (better than their season average of 12.5) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.494 (below their season average of 0.536). For those same stats, Charlotte was 16.5 and 0.488, respectively. The two teams combined to put up 213 points, which was under the O/U total of 222.

The last time the Magic took the court, they topped the Washington Wizards, 127-120, as 8-point underdogs. Orlando rallied around Aaron Gordon, who finished with 18 points and 11 rebounds. Orlando dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 19.5 (below their season average of 23.1) and a free throw rate of 0.222 (above their season average of 0.194). Washington was 11.1 and 0.202, respectively, for those same stats. The two squads combined to score 247 points, which was well over the projected point total of 204.

Ball protection could play a significant role in this battle. Orlando commits the fourth-fewest miscues in the NBA (turnover percentage of 12.8 percent), while the gambling defense of Phoenix forces the third-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.6 percent). Also, put-back points figure to be few and far between for the Suns. They rank 28th in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage at 19.2 percent, while the Magic are fifth-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 79.6 percent).

Of Phoenix’s 19 games, 11 have finished over the projected point total, while 10 of Orlando’s 19 games have finished under the projected point total. Both teams have mediocre straight up (SU) records (9-10 for Phoenix; 9-11 for Orlando), but the Suns have the advantage against the spread (ATS). Phoenix is 11-8 ATS, while the Magic are 6-11-2.

This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams, after splitting two games last season. In the most recent matchup, the Suns won 122-120. Phoenix had a better effective field goal percentage (0.574 vs. 0.531). Orlando, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (18-22; 81.8 percent).

Suns at Magic Betting Prediction

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Magic rank 12th in rebounds per game (45.8) while the Suns rank 26th (42.2).

Orlando ranks 20th in second chance points per game (12.4) while Phoenix ranks 26th (11.2).

Phoenix ranks 12th in points in the paint per game (47.8) while Orlando ranks 25th (43.4).

Orlando ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.8) while Phoenix ranks seventh (12.4).

On the road, Phoenix is 5-2 ATS with 5 unders and 2 overs.

At home, Orlando is 3-6-2 ATS with 6 unders and 5 overs.

Orlando is 5-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Phoenix is 2-2.

The Magic are 7-3 when they reach 100 points, while the Suns are 9-8.

The Magic rank fifth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while the Suns rank 13th (7.4).

Orlando ranks third in blocks per game (6.5) while Phoenix ranks 26th (4.1).

The Suns rank second in assists per game (27.7) while the Magic rank 23rd (22.3).

The Magic rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (31.9) while the Suns rank sixth (32.1).

Phoenix ranks second in points off turnovers per game (19.7) while Orlando ranks 17th (17.4).

Bettings Trends:

Orlando is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Over its past five games, Phoenix is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Magic have outscored opponents by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Orlando has lost by an average of 0.5 points.

During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 111.6 points per game (2.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.6 points per game (3.1 above their season average).

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