At 7:30 ET, the Cleveland Cavaliers will host the Phoenix Suns in a non-conference matchup. The Suns are favored by 5.5 points and have a moneyline of -219. The over/under line is set at 222.5.

Phoenix is currently 6th in the Western Conference with a record of 37-27. Cleveland is 3rd in the East at 41-23.

PHOENIX SUNS VS CLEVELAND CAVALIERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers +5.5

This game will be played at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse at 7:30 ET on Monday, March 11th.

WHY BET THE CLEVELAND CAVALIERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-114 in favor of the Suns.
  • Our projections have Kevin Durant finishing with Kevin Durant points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Suns finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.0% and knocking down 12 threes.

Is It the Suns Game to Lose on the Road?

Phoenix’s ATS losing streak is at three games as they are favored by 5.5 points against the Cavaliers. This season, the Suns have gone 18-28 ATS as the favorite and 31-16 straight-up. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +5.1 PPG.

In their last game against the Celtics, the Suns lost by a score of 117-107. The O/U line for that game was 226 points, and Phoenix was getting 5.5 points as the underdog.

In the Western Conference standings, the Suns are currently in 6th place with a record of 37-27. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 22-19 compared to 15-8 in non-conference games.

On the road, the Suns have an average scoring differential of +2.9 PPG. This season, they are 16-13 on the road and 13-16 ATS. Their O/U record on the road is 16-13.

Phoenix’s O/U record for the season is 27-36-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line of 222.5 is lower than the season average of 231.3 points per game.

This season, the Suns are one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA, ranking 5th in both field goal percentage and true shooting percentage. They are also one of the top free-throw shooting teams, getting to the line an average of 25 times per game (3rd).

On the season, Phoenix is 12th in scoring at 117 points per game. However, when playing on the road, they are averaging 117.1 points per game (8th). In terms of pace, the Suns are right in the middle of the league at 15th.

Despite being one of the top shooting teams overall, the Suns are just 26th in three-point attempts. They are shooting 37% from beyond the arc (10th). In terms of offensive rebounds, Phoenix is 19th in the NBA.

On the defensive side, Suns is currently hovering around the NBA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 114.3 points per game. Inside the arc, the Suns defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.0% and 36.4% from three-point territory.

Will the Cavaliers Come Through as Home Underdogs?

The Cavaliers are currently 3rd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 41-23. In the Central Division, they are in 2nd place. Today, they are 5.5-point underdogs at home against the Suns.

In terms of their ATS record, the Cavaliers are 31-31 for the season. At home, they are 16-18 ATS, while going 15-13 ATS on the road. Against the spread as underdogs, they are 10-9 and 9-11 as underdogs overall.

This season, the Cavaliers have gone 29-34-1 on the over/under, and their games have averaged 223.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 222.5, and the team’s last two games have gone over the posted total.

Cleveland’s last game was a 120-101 loss to the Nets. They were favored by 7 points in that game and are now 16-18 straight-up at home. The combined scoring in that game was 221 points, and the O/U line was 208.

Heading into their matchup with the Suns, the Cavaliers are 18th in scoring at 113.8 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually scored more points on the road (112.8) than at home (114.6). Overall, Cleveland has outscored the NBA scoring average in 45.3% of their games this season.

When it comes to pace, the Cavs are 21st in the league at 97.6 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Cleveland is 13th at 47%. Inside the arc, they are 10th in two-point shooting at 56%.

From beyond the arc, the Cavaliers are 7th in three-pointers made at 13.6 per game. However, they are just 16th in three-point shooting percentage at 36%. In terms of free throws, Cleveland is 24th in made free throws (15.9) and 25th in free throw attempts (20.9).

This season, the Cavaliers defense has been impressive, holding the 4th position in the league while permitting an average of 109.5 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Cavaliers defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 51.6% while allowing 36.2% from downtown.