Last Updated: 2019-12-02
The Charlotte Hornets (8-13) will be at home in the Spectrum Center when they challenge the Phoenix Suns (8-10). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 225.5 points with Phoenix set as a 4-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on Monday, December 2, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona.
Phoenix Suns at Charlotte Hornets Free Preview
The Suns fell to the Dallas Mavericks in their last matchup, 120-113. They failed to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. With 22 points on 8-for-17 shooting, Kelly Oubre Jr. was Phoenix’s leading scorer. Dallas did a great job of getting and making free throws (33-38; 86.8 percent). Phoenix, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (22.4 vs. 20.0). The two teams combined to score 233 points, which finished over the O/U total of 229.5.
In the Hornets’ previous game, they were thoroughly outplayed by the Milwaukee Bucks, 137-96, and were not able to cover as 14-point underdogs. Devonte’ Graham was the top scorer from either team with 24 points on 10-for-18 shooting. Milwaukee had a turnover percentage of 6.4 (better than their season average of 12.7). Charlotte, on the other hand, held the Bucks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.6 (below their season average of 21.8). Combined, the two squads scored 233 points, which was over the O/U total of 226.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Charlotte offense. Charlotte ranks 22nd in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.9 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Phoenix forces the fifth-most turnovers in the NBA (15.4 percent).
Both of these teams have typically finished over the projected point total. Phoenix games have finished over 61.1 percent of the time, while games including Charlotte have finished over 57.1 percent of the time. The Suns have the better straight up (SU) record (8-10 vs. 8-13) and a narrow edge against the spread (ATS) (10-8 vs. 11-10).
This is the first time these teams will clash this year. The Hornets won both matchups played against each other last season. In the last matchup, Charlotte won 135-115. Charlotte out-rebounded Phoenix. The Hornets had more offensive rebounds (14 vs. seven), defensive rebounds (39 vs. 19) and total rebounds (53 vs. 26).
Suns vs. Hornets Free Prediction
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Over
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The Suns rank ninth in three pointers attempted per game (35.3) while the Hornets rank 21st in three pointers allowed per game (34.5).
Phoenix ranks 10th in fast break points per game (14.6) while Charlotte ranks 13th in fast break points allowed per game (13.0).
Phoenix averages 47.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks 16th in the NBA. Charlotte ranks 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.6).
Charlotte ranks 25th in second chance points per game (12.0) while Phoenix ranks 26th (11.1).
On the road, Phoenix is 4-2 ATS with 4 unders and 2 overs.
At home, Charlotte is 5-4 ATS with 5 unders and 4 overs.
Phoenix is 2-2 when they allow below 100 points, while Charlotte is 1-0.
When scoring above 100 points, the Suns are 8-8 and the Hornets are 7-7.
The Suns rank 25th in rebounds per game (42.5) while the Hornets rank 29th (41.3).
Phoenix averages 27.6 assists per game, which ranks second in the league. Charlotte ranks last in assists allowed per game (27.9).
The Suns rank third in points off turnovers per game (19.6) while the Hornets rank 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.7).
The Hornets rank 24th in blocks per game (4.0) while the Suns rank 26th (3.9).
Phoenix ranks 15th in steals allowed per game (7.6) while Charlotte ranks 27th (8.7).
Charlotte is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Across its last five games, Phoenix is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.0, up from 8.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 114.0 points per game (0.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 119.6 points per game (6.7 above their season average).