The Phillies (76-62, 35-36 away) and Padres (66-74, 39-35 home) head into game three of this National League matchup all tied at 1-1. Zack Wheeler is scheduled to get the start for the Phillies against Michael Wacha for the Padres. Check out my best bet for today’s Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres showdown.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres -101
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Wednesday, September 6th.
WHY BET THE SAN DIEGO PADRES:
- In their five most recent games as the favorite, the Phillies have gone just 2-3 straight-up.
- The Padres are 4-1 straight-up in their five most recent games as the favorite.
- The Phillies are just 1-2 in Zack Wheeler’s last three starts.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD
This season, the Phillies have played a total of 44 series and are above .500 at 24-17-3. On the road, Philadelphia is 35-36 and 41-26 at home. Their overall record of 76-62 has the Phillies sitting 2nd in the NL East.
Zack Wheeler has been a model of consistency in 2021, going at least six innings in 10 consecutive starts and compiling a record of 10-6. Through 27 outings, his ERA stands at 3.62 with a WHIP of 1.07, while his K/BB ratio is an impressive 185/30 and slugging percentage allowed is .360. Opposing batters have managed just a .230 average against him this season.
Zack Wheeler’s most recent start resulted in a quality outing, as he hurled six frames and yielded three runs. Unfortunately, the Phillies were unable to come away with a win, losing to the Brewers 7-5.
The Phillies have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 21 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 3rd best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 10th in home runs and 5th in slugging percentage. Overall, Philadelphia is averaging 4.9 runs per game (9th).
Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies’ home-run leader in 2023, boasting 40 long balls and 89 RBIs. His slugging percentage for the season is an impressive .469.
WILL THE SAN DIEGO PADRES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
San Diego’s record of 66-74 has them sitting 4th in the NL West. At home, the Padres have won two straight series. Their overall home record is 39-35. Against the runline, the Padres are 67-73 along with an over/under record of 57-73.
Today marks Michael Wacha’s 20th outing of the season, and he has compiled an impressive 11-2 record thus far. His ERA stands at a solid 2.85, with an OBP allowed of .279. The right-hander has struck out 96 batters while maintaining a WHIP of 1.12. When pitching away from home, his ERA is 4.03 compared to the 2.64 he holds when playing in front of his home crowd.
Michael Wacha earned the win in his most recent start, a 7-3 victory over the Giants. The right-hander allowed two runs on six hits over six frames, delivering a quality start in the process.
Having gone deep 13 times in their last ten games, the Padres are 9th in that span. At 4.5 runs per game, San Diego is 16th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .241 while hitting a total of 178 home runs (11th).
Juan Soto has been one of the San Diego Padres’ most productive hitters in 2023. He currently holds a .259 batting average, with 28 home runs and 84 runs batted in.