The Padres (65-74, 38-35 home) host the Phillies (76-61, 35-35 away) in game two of this National League series. Getting the start for the Padres is Pedro Avila while the Phillies are turning to Michael Lorenzen. Read on to get my best bet for this San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies matchup.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -110
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, September 5th.
WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:
- Coming into the game, the Padres have gone just 1-4 in their last five home games.
- In their two most recent games as the underdog, the Phillies are 2-0.
- The Padres’ are just 1-2 in Pedro Avila’s three starts.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TRYING TO CLOSE GAP IN NL EAST
Entering game 138 of their season, the Phillies are 14.5 games out in the NL East and are in 2nd place. So far, their overall series record stands at 24-17-3. Philadelphia’s road winning percent is currently 50.0% (35-35) compared to 61.2% at home (41-26).
Michael Lorenzen will take the mound for the Phillies with an 8-8 record. The right-hander has made 23 appearances this season, boasting an ERA of 3.73 and a K/9 of 6.73. His FIP is 4.24 and his OBP is .285.
Michael Lorenzen earned a victory in his most recent outing, as the Phillies defeated the Angels 12-7. The right-hander tossed six frames, allowing four runs on eight hits to record a quality start.
So far this season, the Phillies’ has gone deep 182 times, placing them 9th in the league. Over Philadelphia’s previous five games, they are 11th in runs scored, with their season average of 4.9 runs per game putting them 9th in the league. The Phillies’ overall team batting average stands at .260 along with an OBP of .329.
The Phillies’ leader in hits, Nick Castellanos, is batting .273 this season. He has a .460 slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309.
WILL THE SAN DIEGO PADRES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Through 139 games, the Padres have a record of 65-74. This mark includes going 18-22-5 across their 45 series. Currently, San Diego is 4th in the NL West and have a 38-35 record at home while going 27-39 on the road. So far, the Padres have gone 42-51 against teams with above .500 records.
San Diego’s Pedro Avila is 0-2 with an ERA of 2.67 this season. On the road, his ERA stands at 3.16, while it is 3.69 when he pitches at home. Avila has a WHIP of 1.39 and opponents have a batting average against him of .234 with a slugging percentage of .331.
Pedro Avila seeks to rebound from a brief appearance against the Giants. In San Diego’s 7-2 defeat, Avila allowed six runs across three frames.
Across their last ten games, the Padres’ offense is 5th in batting average, leading to an average of 4.9 runs per contest in that span. Overall, they are the 16th ranked scoring offense and posted a season-long OPS of .737 on 177 (12th).
Juan Soto has been a major contributor to the Padres’ offensive success this season, leading the team with 28 home runs over their last five games. His batting average stands at .259, making him a key player in the lineup.