Game three of this NL East series sees the Marlins (57-51, 33-23 home) and Phillies (58-49, 30-29 away) facing off at loanDepot Park. The starting pitcher for the Marlins will be Braxton Garrett, while the Phillies are turning to Zack Wheeler. Find out who I like to win in this Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies showdown.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins +113

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, August 2nd.

WHY BET THE MIAMI MARLINS:

  • In their ten most recent games as the favorite, the Phillies have gone just 4-6 straight-up.
  • The Phillies have lost their two most recent games when favored on the moneyline.
  • Across Braxton Garrett’s 20 starts, the Marlins have put together a record of 15-5.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE NL EAST

Heading into the game, the Phillies are 2nd in the NL East on an overall record of 58-49. The team’s season-long road record is 30-29, which includes losing each of their past two road series. Against the runline, the Phillies are 44-63 and have an over/under mark of 44-56. Their runline record on the road is 27-32 this year.

Zack Wheeler has had a successful season thus far, boasting an 8-5 record and 3.74 ERA. On the road, he has gone 6-3 with an ERA of 4.30 in 11 appearances, while at home he is 2-2 with a 4.26 ERA. His WHIP stands at 1.11 and opposing teams have managed a .238 batting average against him, as well as a .366 slugging percentage.

Zack Wheeler’s most recent outing was a success, as he earned a quality start and the win for his team. The final score was 2-1 in favor of Wheeler’s squad, with the right-hander allowing just one run and three hits over 6 2/3 innings.

In their five most recent games, the Phillies have put together a batting average of only .176, placing them 28th compared to the rest of the league. At 4.5 runs per game, Philadelphia is 17th in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .254 and OPS of .733 which has them 15th in baseball.

The Phillies’ offense has been led by Alec Bohm in recent games, as he has hit one home run over the last ten contests and a total of 10 on the season. Bohm’s batting average stands at .287 for the year.

WILL THE MIAMI MARLINS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

The Marlins take on the Phillies with the hopes of snapping their two game losing streak. This recent skid has their record sitting at 57-51, putting them 3rd in the NL East. When looking at their overall series numbers, they have gone 17-15-1. At home, they are 33-23 and 24-28.

Braxton Garrett is set to make his 22nd appearance of the season today, boasting a 5-3 record with 117 strikeouts. His ERA stands at 4.08, while his OBP allowed is .295 and WHIP is 1.18. Garrett has been particularly impressive on the road, where his ERA is 2.68 compared to 6.42 at home.

In his previous outing, Braxton Garrett provided the Marlins with a quality start, giving up one run on five hits over six innings. However, he was not credited with the win in Miami’s 6-5 victory over Detroit.

The Marlins have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 4 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 7th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 26th in home runs and 18th in slugging percentage. Overall, Miami is averaging 4.1 runs per game (26th).

Jake Burger is the Miami Marlins’ home-run leader in 2023, with 25 long balls and 52 RBIs. His slugging percentage for the season stands at a solid .527.