Leading up to game two of this NL East battle, the Marlins (57-50, 33-22 home) will send Sandy Alcantara to the mound to take on the Phillies (57-49, 29-29 away) and Ranger Suárez. Find out who I like to come out on top in this Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins matchup in Miami.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +117
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, August 1st.
WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:
- Coming into the game, the Marlins have gone just 1-9 in their last ten home games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Marlins are just 4-6 (straight-up).
- The Phillies have gone 1-3 in Sandy Alcantara’s last four starts.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE NL EAST
Entering game 107 of their season, the Phillies are 11 games out in the NL East and are in 2nd place. So far, their overall series record stands at 18-13-2. Philadelphia’s road winning percent is currently 50.0% (29-29) compared to 58.3% at home (28-20).
Ranger Suárez has made 14 appearances in the 2023 season, posting a .410 slugging percentage allowed and a 1.39 WHIP. His overall record is 2-5 with an ERA of 4.21, and he has racked up 73 strikeouts while averaging 8.32 K/9 innings. On the road, Suárez is 2-3 with an ERA of 3.42, while his home record stands at 0-2 and 6.99 ERA.
Despite not earning a decision in the Phillies’ 6-4 victory over the Orioles, Ranger Suárez had a quality start in his last outing. He tossed six frames, allowing four runs on seven hits.
With a season-long average of 4.5 runs per game, the Phillies are the 15th ranked scoring offense this season. As a team, they are batting .255, with an OBP of .322. In Philadelphia’s last ten games, they are 15th in home runs, having gone deep four times in that span.
Alec Bohm has been a consistent force in the Phillies lineup this season, boasting a .287 batting average and .425 slugging percentage. Over the past ten games, Bohm has been on fire, leading the team in hits and batting an impressive .394.
WILL THE MIAMI MARLINS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
On a record of 57-50, the Marlins are 3rd in the NL East. At home, they have put together a win percent of 60.0% compared to 46.2% on the road. This season, Miami has gone 24-28 against teams who are above .500, and hold an overall series record of 17-15-1.
Today marks Sandy Alcantara’s 22nd outing of the season, and he has a 4-9 record to show for it. His ERA is currently at 4.46, with an opposing batting average of .295. Alcantara has struck out 113 batters thus far, and his WHIP stands at 1.24. On the road, his ERA is 5.26 compared to 4.62 when pitching at home.
Sandy Alcantara earned a quality start and the victory in his most recent outing, as the Marlins defeated the Rays 7-1. The right-hander allowed one run and five hits over nine innings of work.
Across their last five games, the Marlins’ offense is 1st in batting average, leading to an average of 4.6 runs per contest in that span. Overall, they are the 22nd ranked scoring offense and posted a season-long OPS of .719 on 96 (23rd). On average, they have struckout 7 times per game compard to 2.6 walks.
Jorge Soler has been a major contributor to the Marlins’ offensive success this season, leading the team in home runs with 25 and RBIs with 56. His slugging percentage of .493 is also impressive.