Francisco Lindor and the red-hot Cleveland Indians will go for their sixth win in a row as they play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Progressive Field. This interleague matchup will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will showcase the game.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Philadelphia (+155) is entering this game as the underdog to Cleveland (-165) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 10 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Phillies +1.5 (-140) and Indians -1.5 (+120).

The Phillies are 78-74 SU and have gone 73-78 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.2 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 91-63 SU and 83-70 ATS. The team has gained 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.9 units ATS.

Indians games have a 65-84-4 over/under record in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 71-76-4.

Jason Vargas will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. The left-handed Vargas (6-8, 4.48 ERA) has racked up 113 strikeouts in 138.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Indians are putting the ball in the hands of Zach Plesac (8-6, 3.64 ERA), who has 79 strikeouts and 37 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.20. Plesac did not pitch in the majors last season.

Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.69, a WHIP of 1.17 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Cleveland hitters have put up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .299/.374/.437 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

The Indians’ batters have been led by Francisco Lindor, who is hitting .293/.345/.533 with 31 home runs, 71 RBIs, 96 runs and 21 steals.

For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.59 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.28 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.44, along with a K-per-9 of 8.88.

Phillies hitters have slashed .247/.323/.427 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Cesar Hernandez has led Philadelphia’s hitters and is slashing .285/.338/.408 with 12 home runs, 67 RBIs and 70 runs scored.

The Indians just took the previous game in this series by a final tally of five runs to two.

Philadelphia Phillies at Cleveland Indians MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

Philadelphia has logged 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cleveland has 16 XBH over its last five.

The Phillies have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 11 over their last 10.

Philadelphia fielders have committed seven errors over the last 10 games, compared to only two errors for Cleveland over its last 10.