The Philadelphia Phillies will be squaring off against the Cleveland Indians. This interleague matchup will be nationally broadcasted on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 6:37 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Cleveland Indians Odds
Vegas is listing Cleveland (-150) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+140). Gamblers are able to wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 10 runs and -110 for under 10. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -155 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +135 for the Indians -1.5 runs.
The Indians are 91-64 straight up (SU) and 84-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.0 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Phillies are 79-74 SU and have gone 73-79 ATS. They’ve lost 4.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 7.5 units ATS. Philadelphia’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Cleveland games have an over/under record of 65-85-4 in 2019. Philadelphia has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 71-77-4.
Right-hander Vince Velasquez is the projected starter for the visiting Phillies. Velasquez (7-7, 4.89 ERA) has recorded 121 strikeouts in 108.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Indians are turning to righty Adam Plutko (7-4, 4.34 ERA), who has 72 strikeouts and 22 walks, in addition to a 1.22 WHIP. Plutko did not re a start against the Phillies in 2018.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.57 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.42, along with a K/9 of 8.91.
Phillies hitters have slashed .247/.323/.429 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Philadelphia’s offense has been powered by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is hitting .284/.337/.406 with 12 home runs, 68 RBIs and 71 runs scored, while Segura (.283/.327/.429) is up to 12 homers, 59 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
For the home team, Cleveland’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 3.71 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
Cleveland’s hitters have put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .271/.342/.404 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Indians’ batters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana. Lindor is slashing .291/.345/.530 with 31 home runs, 71 RBIs, 98 runs and 22 steals, while Santana’s line is .284/.400/.524 with 34 homers, 93 RBIs and 107 runs.
The Phillies have gained 4.5 units and are 56-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 53 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 0.5 units and are 53-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 61 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies at Cleveland Indians Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Philadelphia has recorded 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cleveland has 15 XBH over its last five.
Philadelphia has recorded 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.2 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 10 over their last 10.
The Phillies have a team OPS of .752 this season and an OPS of .738 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS sits at .761 overall and .761 against righties.