Last Updated: 2019-08-21
The Philadelphia Phillies will be facing off against the Boston Red Sox. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will broadcast this interleague matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Boston (-155) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+145). If you think the game’s total will finish below 12 runs, then Vegas is teeing up -120 odds to play the under. Picking the over give you even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Phillies +1.5 runs (-150) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (+130).
The Phillies are 65-60 SU and have gone 57-67 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.3 units ATS. Philadelphia’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 67-60 SU and 54-72 ATS. They’ve lost 21.5 units for moneyline bettors and 24.6 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Red Sox games have an over/under record of 74-49-3 in 2019. Phillies games have gone under 61 times, gone over 59 times and pushed on four occasions.
The southpaw Drew Smyly is getting the nod for the visiting Phillies. Smyly is 2-6 with a 7.09 ERA and 82 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Red Sox are sending righty Rick Porcello (11-9, 5.49 ERA) to the mound. Porcello has 109 strikeouts and 38 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.41. Porcello only made one start against the Phillies in 2018 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and 10 strikeouts across seven innings).
Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.54 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.13 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.61, along with a K-per-9 of 9.03.
Phillies hitters have slashed .246/.323/.419 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have led Philadelphia’s hitters. Hernandez is hitting .283/.331/.397 with eight home runs, 53 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Segura (.284/.331/.434) is up to 11 homers, 52 RBIs and 66 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 5.08 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.24 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.
The Boston hitters are putting up 5.8 runs per outing, including 6.9 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .314/.373/.615 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Red Sox offense has been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .329/.377/.592 with 27 home runs, 101 RBIs and 103 runs scored, and Bogaerts has produced a line of .308/.383/.561 with 27 homers, 94 RBIs and 95 runs.
The Phillies have gained 2.7 units and are 44-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 12.0 units and are 16-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, compared to 14 which went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Philadelphia has tallied 17 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Boston has 30 XBH over its last five.
Boston has posted 29.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.8 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 19 over their last 10.
The Phillies have a total OPS of .742 this season and an OPS of .732 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .830 overall and .830 versus righties.