Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick 06/14/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-14

Freddie Freeman and the red-hot Atlanta Braves are gunning for their eighth win in a row as they play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Sun will be televising the action. The first pitch will be at 7:20 p.m. ET.

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Odds

Vegas is listing Philadelphia (+125) as the underdog to Atlanta (-135). The total stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -115 and the under for -105. There’s a runline of Phillies +1.5 (-170) and Braves -1.5 (+150) for this matchup.

The Phillies are 38-30 SU and have gone 35-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 1.6 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 40-29 SU and 33-35 ATS. They’ve gained 5.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.4 units ATS.

Atlanta games have had an over/under record of 37-26-5 so far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 31-35-2.

The right-handed Nick Pivetta is projected to start for the visiting Phillies. Pivetta is 4-1 with a 4.93 ERA and 37 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 7.71 ERA against Atlanta this year.

The Braves will send lefty Max Fried (7-3, 3.75 ERA) to the mound. Fried has 66 strikeouts and 19 walks to his credit as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Fried is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Philadelphia this year.

As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.32 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.27 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 18 games against divisional foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.57 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.23.

Atlanta’s offense has put up 5.2 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 8.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .301/.400/.591 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that span.

The Braves’ offense has been led by Freddie Freeman, who is hitting .311/.401/.592 with 18 home runs, 46 RBIs and 49 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.28 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.13 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.24, along with a K/9 of 9.26.

Phillies hitters have slashed .244/.324/.418 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Jean Segura has led Philadelphia’s offense and is hitting .284/.331/.453 with six home runs, 27 RBIs and 41 runs scored.

The Phillies just dropped a 2-0 game to the Diamondbacks, while the Braves are coming off of a 6-5 win against the Pirates.

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The under has hit in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.

The Phillies have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 20 over their last 10.

The Phillies have an OPS of .742 this season, including an OPS of .768 against left-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .788 overall and .804 against lefties.

Philadelphia fielders have committed zero errors over the last five games, compared to four errors for Atlanta over its last five.

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