The Phillies (90-72, 41-40 away) travel to take on the Diamondbacks (84-78, 43-38 home) in game one of this National League matchup. Ranger Suárez is getting the start for the Phillies while Brandon Pfaadt is starting for the Diamondbacks. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks showdown at Chase Field.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -136
This game will be played at Chase Field at 5:07 ET on Thursday, October 19th.
WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:
- The Diamondbacks have been struggling of late, having lost each of their last four straight games.
- In their five most recent games as the favorite, the Phillies are 5-0.
- For the season, the Phillies have gone 15-9 with Ranger Suárez on the mound as the starter.
CAN THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES PULL OUT A WIN AS ROAD FAVORITES?
Entering game 163 of their season, the Phillies are 14 games out in the NL East and are in 2nd place. So far, their overall series record stands at 30-20-4. Philadelphia’s road winning percent is currently 50.6% (41-40) compared to 60.5% at home (49-32).
The Phillies will turn to Ranger Suárez for their next outing. The left-hander has gone 4-6 in 24 appearances this season, with an ERA of 4.18 and a K/9 of 8.57. His FIP stands at 3.90, while his OBP is .325.
The Phillies are looking to Ranger Suárez to lead them to another victory, as they came out on top the last time he was on the mound. He went five innings, allowing one earned run on three hits, in their 3-1 win over the Braves. So far in 2023, Suárez has been a reliable presence for Philadelphia.
This season, the Phillies are 8th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. Over their last five games, they have a combined batting average of .234 (17th) leading to 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.2 walks per game compared to 9 strikeouts. Philadelphia’s on-base percentage of .327 has them 7th in the MLB.
The Phillies’ leader in hits, Nick Castellanos, is batting .272 this season. He has a .476 slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311.
WILL THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
This season, the Diamondbacks have an overall series record of 32-20-3 and are currently 2nd in the NL West. Arizona’s overall record is 84-78, which includes their current four game losing streak. On the road, the Diamondbacks are 41-40 and 43-38 at home.
Brandon Pfaadt’s 2023 campaign has been a struggle thus far. His overall record stands at 3-9, with an ERA of 5.72. On the road, he has gone 1-4 with an ERA of 6.21 in 10 appearances, while his home record is 2-5 and ERA 7.26. Opposing batters have hit .279 against him with a slugging percentage of .528, and his WHIP is 1.41 for the season.
In his most recent start, Brandon Pfaadt squared off against the Dodgers and was dominant, surrendering no runs on two hits in 4 1/3 innings. Despite not earning the win or loss, the Diamondbacks emerged victorious with a 4-2 scoreline.
In their five most recent games, the Diamondbacks have put together a batting average of only .148, placing them 29th compared to the rest of the league. At 4.6 runs per game, Arizona is 14th in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .250 and OPS of .730 which has them 15th in baseball.
The Diamondbacks have been bolstered by the offensive performance of Corbin Carroll in 2023. His .285 batting average has led to 76 RBIs, and he has also hit 25 home runs.