Looking to win big? The Flyers and Lightning face off at 7:00 ET on NBCS. The Lightning are hosting the game at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. The over/under for this Eastern conference contest is set at 6.5 goals, with the Lightning being favored by -1.5 goals at home against the Flyers.

PHILADELPHIA FLYERS VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.

WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:

  • Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Flyers.
  • We like the Flyers on the moneyline (+122)
  • The Flyers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Can The Flyers Secure a Road Victory?

Heading into today’s game, the Flyers are in 6th place in the Eastern Conference with 74 points and an overall record of 33-23-8. In the Eastern Conference, Philadelphia has gone 15-19 and 8-11 against Metropolitan Division opponents. Over their last ten games, the Flyers have gone just 4-6.

On the road this season, Philadelphia has gone 17-10-5 and have been the underdog in 44 of their 64 games. As the underdog, the Flyers have gone 21-17-6, including winning their last two games when not favored. Over their last five games, Philadelphia has gone 3-2.

On the season, the Flyers have gone 39-25 against the puck line and have a puck line mark of 7-3 in their last ten games. So far, they have been the underdog in 44 of their 63 games and have gone 33-11 against the puck line as the underdog.

Philadelphia has an average scoring differential of +.1 goals per game this year, and they have 20 wins by multiple goals. In their last ten road games, the Flyers have gone 7-3 against the puck line, and their road puck line record for the season is at 25-7.

On average, Philadelphia’s games have finished with 5.9 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.1. In total, the Flyers come in with an over/under record of 26-35-3.

Across their last three road contests, Philadelphia has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 3 goals per game.

Offensively, the Flyers come into the game at 2.9 goals per contest placing 22nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 2nd position in the league. This season, the Flyers have a 23-14 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 8-9 record.

Philadelphia’s leading scorer is Travis Konecny. So far, he has 27 goals which is 25th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 27 assists so far.

In terms of defense, the Lightning head into the game ranked 20th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.3 shots per game against Tampa Bay. So far, they are 17th in shutouts, achieving 3 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Samuel Ersson has started 34 games this season. His current record stands at 18-12, and his save percentage is 0.713%.

Will the Lightning Defense Show Up at Home?

At home this season, the Lightning have gone 19-9-4 and have been favored in 38 of their 64 games. In the Eastern Conference, Tampa Bay is 8th and 5th in the Atlantic Division. Overall, the Lightning are 33-25-6 and have gone 4-6 in their last ten games. Over their last five games, Tampa Bay is 2-3.

For the season, the Lightning have 72 points and have gone 17-19 against Eastern Conference opponents. In the division, Tampa Bay is 7-11. As the favorite, the Lightning have gone 23-13-2 this season. At home, Tampa Bay has gone 14-16-2.

At home this year, Tampa Bay has gone 17-15 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin is at +.5 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have 23 wins by multiple goals.

Overall, Tampa Bay’s puck line record is at 31-33, and they have dropped their last four games against the puck line. In their last ten games at home, the Lightning have gone just 4-6 vs. the puck line.

This season, Tampa Bay’s games are averaging 6.8 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.5. The Lightning currently have an over/under record of 30-30-4.

In their last three road games, Philadelphia has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 4. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.

When looking at their offense, the Lightning have an average of 3.3 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 6th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 22nd in the league. The Tampa Bay offense is ranked 3rd in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 25th in the NHL.

Tampa Bay’s leading goal scorer is Nikita Kucherov. So far this season, he has 38 goals, placing him 6th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Kucherov has 68 assists this season.

In terms of defense, the Lightning head into the game ranked 20th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.3 shots per game against Tampa Bay. So far, they are 17th in shutouts, achieving 3 shutouts.

Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy gets the start and has made 38 starts this season. His record at this point is 21-16, and his save percentage is 0.787%.