The Philadelphia 76ers (35-21) will try to end a five-game road losing streak when they clash with the Milwaukee Bucks (47-8) at Fiserv Forum. Milwaukee is an 8.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 226.5 points. Action starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 22, 2020.
Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Preview
In the 76ers’ last game, they were victorious over the Brooklyn Nets, 112-104, resulting in a push. Joel Embiid was the top scorer from either team with 39 points on 10-for-20 shooting. Philadelphia dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an extraordinary free throw rate of 0.372 (above their season average of 0.187) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.465 (below their season average of 0.528). Brooklyn was 0.216 and 0.402, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 216 points, which came in just under the projected point total of 217.5.
The Bucks hope to keep it rolling after covering the 13-point spread against the Detroit Pistons in their last outing, 126-106. Milwaukee received a boost from Giannis Antetokounmpo, who was the game’s leading scorer with 33 points on 13-for-23 shooting. The Bucks had a fantastically low turnover percentage of 6.3 (better than their season average of 12.3), while the Pistons had a free throw rate of 0.157 (below their season average of 0.196). The two teams collectively scored 232 points, which finished over the O/U total of 227.
This showdown pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Milwaukee ranks second in offensive efficiency and Philadelphia ranks third in defensive efficiency.
Of Philadelphia’s 56 games, 28 have finished over the O/U total, while 28 of Milwaukee’s 55 games have finished over the O/U total. The Bucks come into this game with much better straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 47-8 SU and 32-23 ATS, while the 76ers are 35-21 SU and 24-28-4 ATS.
These two teams have met twice already this year, each winning once. In the most recent contest, Antetokounmpo scored a game-high 36 points and the Bucks beat the 76ers 112-101, covering as 10.5-point favorites. He also put up 20 rebounds and six assists. The two teams combined for 213 points, which was 10 points below the projected point total of 223 points. The Bucks played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.128 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.532. For those same stats, the 76ers were 0.081 and 0.470, respectively.
76ers at Bucks Odds Prediction
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
The Bucks rank third in points in the paint per game (50.9) while the 76ers rank 18th (47.5).
Philadelphia averages 8.2 steals per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Milwaukee ranks 12th in steals allowed per game (7.3).
Philadelphia ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while Milwaukee ranks 10th (4.6).
Milwaukee allows the second-fewest second chance points per game (11.4) while Philadelphia ranks third (11.6).
Philadelphia is 9-18-1 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 16-12 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 14 of the 76ers’ 28 road games, while 15 of the Bucks’ 28 home games have gone over.
When allowing less than 100 points, Philadelphia is 14-1 and Milwaukee is 12-0.
The 76ers are 31-10 when they reach 100 points, while the Bucks are 47-8.
The 76ers rank third in assists allowed per game (22.2) while the Bucks rank 11th (24.0).
Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (28.7) while Milwaukee ranks 29th (38.8).
The 76ers rank second in rebounds allowed per game (42.0) while the Bucks rank 20th (46.0).
The Bucks average 17.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The 76ers rank 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.5).
Milwaukee ranks second in fast break points per game (18.8) while Philadelphia ranks 19th in fast break points allowed per game (13.6).
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its past five outings, Philadelphia is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.4, down from 12.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 112.0 points per game (3.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.4 points per game (1.2 above their season average).