At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat (-138) will host the Philadelphia 76ers (+115) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Heat are currently favored by 2.5 points and have won three straight games. The 76ers, who are 8th in the Eastern Conference, have won two straight.

This game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on NBCS. The over/under line for this matchup is currently 210.


The Pick: Miami Heat -2.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Thursday, April 4th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-107 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Jimmy Butler finishing with Jimmy Butler points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.5% and knocking down 13 threes.

Can Philadelphia Pull Off a Road Win?

Today, the 76ers are looking to extend their win streak to three games after defeating the Thunder 109-105. They also covered the spread, going in as 3-point favorites.

As the underdog, the 76ers have gone 8-22 straight up this season. Their ATS record as the underdog is 14-15, and they have gone 2-3 as the underdog against the spread.

Against the spread this season, the 76ers are 43-32 overall and 22-16 on the road. Currently, they are 19-19 straight up on the road.

Philadelphia’s O/U record for the season is 38-38, and 73 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s (210). On average, their games have seen 226.4 points scored.

In the Eastern Conference, the 76ers are currently in 8th place with a record of 41-35. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 27-21 and 7-8 against their division.

On the season, the 76ers are averaging 114.3 points per game, which is 15th in the NBA. However, on the road, they are scoring slightly less at 113.3 points per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Philadelphia is 22nd in the league in both three-pointers made per game (11.9) and three-point shooting percentage (36%).

So far, the 76ers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 46.1% of their games this season. In terms of pace, they are 23rd in the league at 97 possessions per game.

Coming into the game, the 76ers defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 46.1% of their games. Currently, they are 9th in the NBA at 112.1 points per game allowed. Inside the arc, the 76ers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.8% and 35.4% from three-point territory.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Heat?

Miami is favored for the 4th straight game and has a record of 31-12 as the favorite this season. The Heat have an average scoring margin of +4.7 points per game in these games. As the favorite, Miami has an ATS record of 20-20.

On average, Miami’s games have finished with 218.3 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 210. The team’s last three games have gone over the O/U line.

In their last game, the Heat defeated the Knicks by a score of 109-99. The O/U line for that game was 205.5, and Miami was favored by 2.5 points, giving them the ATS win.

Miami’s overall record is 42-33, which is good for 6th place in the Eastern Conference. Against other teams in the East, they are 29-18 and 12-3 in the Southeast Division.

For the season, the Heat are 36-36 ATS, including a 15-22 ATS record at home. Their current ATS win streak is at three games.

At home this season, the Heat are averaging 112.4 points per game, which is 22nd in the NBA. Overall, Miami is 27th in scoring at 109.9 points per game.

When it comes to pace, the Heat are 29th in the league at 95.7 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is shooting 46% from the field, which is 23rd in the NBA.

From beyond the arc, the Heat are 18th in three-point shooting at 37%. On average, they are making 12.4 threes per game, which is 18th in the league.

Not only do the Heat’s overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 4th in the league in points allowed. Miami has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 30th in the league over their last three games at 96 PPG allowed. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Heat are forcing 11.8 per game, which is 6th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 30th in blocked shots at 3.4 per game.