Looking to win big? The 76ers and Heat face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN. The Heat are hosting the game at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 226 points, and the Heat are favored to win at home against the 76ers.


The Pick: Philadelphia 76ers +3.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 8:00 ET on Monday, December 25th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-111 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with Tyler Herro points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 51.9% and knocking down 12 threes.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

With their current two game winning streak, the 76ers are 20-8 overall and are 3rd in the Eastern Conference. In the Atlantic division, they are currently 2nd.

Presently, Philadelphia boasts an ATS record of 21-7, which is above .500 against the spread. Currently, the 76ers have a two game ATS win streak when they are favored, and they are 3-2 against the spread as underdogs.

In their recent game, the 76ers’ offense concluded with 121 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 122.3 points per contest. Currently leading the team in scoring is Joel Embiid who comes into today’s matchup averaging 35. Tyrese Maxey also heads into the game with a PPG average of 26.4.

In the current season, the 76ers defense has excelled, sitting 6 in the NBA by allowing 111.0 points per game.

The Philadelphia defense has allowed opponents to shoot 34.2% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.2% of their field goal attempts vs. Philadelphia.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Heat?

In their last ten games, the Heat are 6-4 and have an overall record of 17-12 as they prepare to play the 76ers. When playing on the road, the Heat are 9-6 this season, compared to a 8-6 record at home.

Miami has an overall ATS record of 13-15 for the season so far. This season, Miami has a 7-9 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 6-6 as underdogs.

Miami’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 122 points against the Hawks. They had an overall field goal percentage of 46.5% and made 25/30 free throws. Currently leading the team in scoring is Jimmy Butler who comes into today’s matchup averaging 21.5. Bam Adebayo also heads into the game with a PPG average of 21.8.

So far, the Heat’s defense is ranked 7 in the league at 111.8 points per contest.

Opponents are hitting 55.9% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.7% of their three-point attempts.