Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks NBA Prediction
- Updated: March 6, 2015
The Philadelphia 76ers (13-48) welcome the Atlanta Hawks (48-12), the league’s top team, to the Wells Fargo Center. The game gets underway at 7:30 pm ET on Saturday, Mar. 7 and will air on SPSO and CSN-PHI.
The 76ers were beaten by the Thunder 123-118 on Wednesday. Isaiah Canaan finished with 31 points to lead the team. The Hawks, meanwhile, are coming off a 104-96 win over the Rockets on Tuesday. Jeff Teague shot 7-for-12 and led in scoring with 25 points.
The inefficient 76ers offense (30th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 91.9) will square off against the top-notch Hawks defense (fifth in the league with a defensive efficiency of 99.8). The Hawks figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
The Hawks have won all three contests against the 76ers this season, including a 91-85 victory in their last matchup. Al Horford played a big role with 23 points and 11 rebounds.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The 76ers enter the game with records of 13-48 Straight Up (SU) and 30-29-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 9-29 SU and 17-20-1 ATS versus the Eastern Conference. The 76ers lead the league in steals with 9.7 per game.
Across the court, the Hawks head into the game with records of 38-22 ATS and 48-12 SU. Atlanta has a record of 31-8 SU and 23-16 ATS against the East. The Hawks are an excellent long-range shooting team with 596 three-point shots made (9.9 per game) that ranks fifth in the NBA. Defenses have a tough time accounting for every player when up against the Hawks, who are known for distributing the ball with 25.5 assists per game. Atlanta’s defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, ranking second in the NBA with only 96.3 points allowed per game. Teams seem to consistently miss shots against the Hawks, who are the fifth-best team in the league in terms of opponent field goal percentage allowed at .434. When it comes to stealing the ball away, the Hawks are one of the best in the league with an average of 8.8 steals per game.
Atlanta won the last meeting this season between these two teams, bringing its SU record in the past 10 games to 8-2. The Hawks also hold the advantage ATS with a record of 6-4. Atlanta topped the 76ers in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) three times over the last 10. Philadelphia has had the edge in all categories once.
Predictions: SU Winner – ATL, ATS Winner – ATL
Philadelphia averages 90.7 points per game, placing the team just 30th in the league. Atlanta ranks second in points allowed, giving up 96.3 points per game.
Philadelphia ranks 29th in points per home game with 94.7 points, while Atlanta ranks eighth in points allowed on the road with 97.7.
Philadelphia is 12-16 when allowing fewer than 100 points this season. The Hawks have a solid 15-7 record when they score fewer than 100 points.
The Philadelphia 76ers have a subpar 1-32 record in games where they have allowed at least 100 points. The Atlanta Hawks are 33-5 when they hit triple digits.
The Hawks have a defensive rating of 99.8 (ranked fifth), while the 76ers have an offensive rating of 91.9 (ranked 30th).
The Philadelphia 76ers average 98.7 possessions per game and .919 points per possession, while the Atlanta Hawks earn fewer possessions (96.5) but more points per possession (1.063).
Ranked third in the NBA, Atlanta has an average effective field goal percentage of 52.7%. Philadelphia has not won a game this season when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage (0-23).
On average, Philadelphia attempts 24.6 three pointers and Atlanta attempts 26.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the 76ers have a 2-28 record while the Hawks have an exceptional 30-7 record.
The third-ranked team, Atlanta has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.88 this season. Philadelphia ranks lower at 30th with an A/TO of 1.15.
Atlanta ranks 27th in rebounds per game with 41.2, while Philadelphia ranks 20th with 42.5.
The Atlanta Hawks rank 30th in offensive rebounding, while the Philadelphia 76ers rank 26th in defensive rebounding.
Though Philadelphia is one of the best in the league in forcing turnovers with opponents averaging a TOV% of 16.3% (ranked second), Atlanta has a tremendous 13-4 record SU when its TOV% is 16.3% or greater.
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