Planning on watching today’s Waves and Broncos game? Catch the action at Leavey Center in Santa Clara, CA, as the Broncos hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 151 points, and Santa Clara is favored by -8.5 to win at home against Pepperdine.
PEPPERDINE WAVES VS SANTA CLARA BRONCOS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pepperdine Waves +8.5
This game will be played at Leavey Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, January 25th.
WHY BET THE PEPPERDINE WAVES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Broncos.
- Even though we have Santa Clara winning straight-up, we like Pepperdine at +8.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 151 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Can the Waves Offense Score Enough on the Road?
Pepperdine will be looking to snap their two-game losing streak when they take on Santa Clara. This season, they have gone 9-12, including a 2-4 record in West Coast Conference play. On the road, their record is just 1-6, and they have gone 1-9 in their last 10 games away from home.
As the underdog, the Waves have gone just 1-10 this season. The team’s average scoring margin on the road is -14.7 points per game, and they are coming off a 68-61 loss to Loyola Marymount.
Pepperdine’s ATS record this season is currently 8-11. When looking at their record vs. the spread as the underdog, the Waves are just 2-9 this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Pepperdine has gone 1-9 vs. the spread.
The over/under record for Pepperdine’s games this season is 7-10-2, and the average scoring in their games is 145.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 151 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (150.7), and their games have finished with more points than today’s line in six of their 21 games. Over their last five games, the average scoring total is 151 points and the over/under record is 2-2-1.
Compared to their season average of 72 points per game, Pepperdine struggled in their previous game. Against Loyola Marymount, the Waves scored 61 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 36.4%. The team’s top scorer is Michael Ajayi, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.1, while Houston Mallette also carries a PPG average of 15.7 into the game.
In terms of defense, Pepperdine is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Pepperdine’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 36.2% this season.
Will the Broncos Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?
Coming into tonight’s game, Santa Clara has a record of 14-7, including a 5-1 mark in West Coast Conference play. Over their last ten games at home, the Broncos have gone 5-5.
So far this season, Santa Clara has been favored in ten out of their 21 games, going 7-3 in those contests. As the favorite, they have a scoring differential of +1.5 points per game.
As the favorite this season, Santa Clara has an ATS record of 4-6 and an overall ATS mark of 9-10. Their home ATS record is 4-8 and they have gone 3-5 vs. the spread in their last 10 games at Leavey Center. However, the Broncos have covered in their last three games as the favorite.
On the season, the over/under record for Santa Clara games is 8-10-1 with an average over/under line of 149.8. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 151. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points and their over/under record during that stretch is 2-1.
Santa Clara is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 101 points vs. Portland. This figure is more than their season average of 77 points per game. Christoph Tilly led the team in scoring, putting up 22 points. Additionally, Tyeree Bryan contributed 18 points for the Broncos.
Coming into today’s game, the Santa Clara defense is giving up an average of 72.3 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Santa Clara defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Portland knocked down 16 three-pointers on their way to 86 points.