Planning on watching today’s Waves and Dons game? Catch the action at War Memorial Gymnasium in San Francisco, CA, as the Dons hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. This West Coast conference matchup has an over/under of 149.5 points, and San Francisco is favored to win by -14 at home vs. Pepperdine.


The Pick: Pepperdine Waves +14

This game will be played at War Memorial Gymnasium at 10:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Dons.
  • Even though we have San Francisco winning straight-up, we like Pepperdine at +14.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Is a Win at San Francisco Possible for the Waves?

Pepperdine enters tonight’s game as a 14-point underdog. They are 12-17 overall and have won their last two games. In West Coast Conference play, the Waves are 5-9, compared to 7-8 in non-conference games.

On the road, Pepperdine is just 3-9 this season and has been outscored by an average of 12.2 points per game. As the underdog, they are 2-13 this season.

Pepperdine has been a slightly below average team against the spread this season, going 12-15. However, they have been even worse vs. the spread as the underdog, posting a 4-11 mark. On the road, the Waves are just 4-8 vs. the spread this year, but they have gone 2-1 in their last three road games vs. the spread. Overall, Pepperdine’s ATS record in their last 10 road games is 3-7.

Pepperdine’s over/under record this season is 13-12-2 and the average scoring total in their games is 149 points. So far, 13 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line of 149.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 160 points and their over/under record in those games is 3-0.

Pepperdine’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Pacific, finishing the game with a total of 89 points. Their season average is now 73.2 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Michael Ajayi who comes into today’s matchup averaging 17.7. Houston Mallette also heads into the game with a PPG average of 14.9.

The Waves’ defense is presently ranked 246th nationally, allowing an average of 74.8 points per contest. Against Pacific in their most recent game, the Pepperdine defense gave up a total of 70 points while allowing Pacific to hit 41% of their shots.

Can San Francisco Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

San Francisco enters this game with a 21-7 record, including a 14-2 mark at home. They are 20-1 when favored this season, and they have won their last three games at home.

In their last game, the Dons lost to Saint Mary’s by a score of 70-66. On the year, they have an average scoring margin of +15.8 points per game at home.

As the favorite, San Francisco is just 4-6 vs. the spread in their last 10 games. At home, their ATS mark is 9-7 this year and they are just 1-4 vs. the number in their last 5 games played at home. Overall, the Dons are 16-11 ATS on the season.

Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in San Francisco’s games this season (141.6). This year, the over/under record in their games is 14-13 and over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 139 points.

In their latest game, San Francisco offense put up 66 points against Saint Mary’s. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 48.1% and made 9 threes. Jonathan Mogbo is leading the team in scoring at 14.9 points per contest. Marcus Williams has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.2 going into the game.

In the current season, the San Francisco defense has excelled, sitting 30th in the nation by allowing 65.3 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, San Francisco’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.3% this season.