Planning on watching today’s Waves and Gaels game? Catch the action at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA, as the Gaels hosts this showdown at 11:00 ET on CBSS. The odds for this West Coast conference game currently have Saint Mary’s as the -19.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 132 points.


The Pick: Pepperdine Waves +19.5

This game will be played at University Credit Union Pavilion at 11:00 ET on Thursday, February 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Gaels.
  • Even though we have Saint Mary’s winning straight-up, we like Pepperdine at +19.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Will Pepperdine Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Pepperdine heads into this game as a 19.5-point underdog on the road. The Waves have gone just 2-12 as an underdog this season, including a 2-8 record on the road.

Over their last 10 road games, Pepperdine has gone just 2-8, and they are 2-3 on the road over their last five games. The Waves come into this game off a 72-63 win over Loyola Marymount.

Pepperdine has an ATS record of 10-14 this season and they are 3-7 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Waves are 4-10 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 3-7 in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, Pepperdine is 1-2 vs. the spread in their last 3 games and they have an ATS mark of 2-3 in their last 5 road contests.

Pepperdine’s over/under record for the season sits at 10-12-2, and today’s line of 132 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season of 150.5. So far, 19 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 156 points.

The Pepperdine offense is coming off a game in which they scored 72 points vs. Loyola Marymount. Overall their field goal percentage was 44.4% while connecting on 5 threes. Offensively, the Waves hold a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, placing them 235th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 176th in terms of percentage and 259th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Waves’ defense is ranked 217th in the country at 74.1 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Loyola Marymount, the Lions finished with a field goal percentage of 41% and a total of 63 points vs. Pepperdine.

Can the Gaels Hold Strong at Home?

With a record of 20-6, Saint Mary’s has been on a roll lately, winning 12 straight games. They have yet to lose at home this season, going 10-6, and they have won their last five games at home.

Pepperdine comes into this game with a record of 9-16, and they have gone 3-0 as the underdog this season. Saint Mary’s has been the favorite in 22 of their 26 games, going 16-6 in those games.

As the favorite, Saint Mary’s has gone 10-12 against the spread this season. At home, they have an ATS record of 7-9. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gaels are 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 132 for the Saint Mary’s vs Pepperdine game is right in line with the average over/under line in their games this season (132.8). So far, the over/under record in their games is 12-13. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 126 points and their OU record during that stretch is 0-3. For the season, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 132.

In their recent game, the Gaels’ offense concluded with 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 73.1 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Aidan Mahaney, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 14, while Augustas Marciulionis also carries a PPG average of 11.8 into the game.

Currently, the Gaels’ defense holds the 2nd rank in the nation, allowing 57.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 4.8 threes per game vs. Pepperdine. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.3%.