The Nittany Lions and Wildcats are set to face off at 1:00 ET on BTN. The Wildcats will host the game at Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, IL. The odds for this Big Ten conference game currently have Northwestern as the -8 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 145.5 points.


The Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions +8

This game will be played at Welsh-Ryan Arena at 1:00 ET on Sunday, February 11th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Even though we have Northwestern winning straight-up, we like Penn State at +8.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will Penn State Make it Happen on the Road?

After defeating Iowa 89-79, Penn State has now won three straight games and is 12-11 overall. However, the Nittany Lions have struggled on the road this season, going just 2-7 compared to a 10-4 record at home. So far, Penn State has been the underdog in 13 of its 23 games, going 6-7 in those contests.

For the year, Penn State is being outscored by an average of 7.9 points per game on the road. Over its last 10 games away from home, the Nittany Lions are just 2-8. Today, Penn State is an eight-point underdog, and the over/under for the game is set at 145.5.

As the underdog this season, Penn State has gone 8-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Nittany Lions have an ATS mark of 7-3. On the road, their ATS record is 4-5 this year and 4-5-1 over their last 10 road games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Penn State games is 14-8-1. The average scoring total in their games is 150 points, which is right in line with the average over/under line of 146. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 143 points.

Penn State is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 89 points versus Iowa. This output is higher than their season-average of 76.5 points per game. Adrian Baldwin Jr led the team in scoring, putting up 22 points. Additionally, Zach Hicks contributed 14 points for the Nittany Lions.

At this time, the Nittany Lions’ defense is positioned 210th in the country, permitting 73.5 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.8 threes per game vs. Northwestern. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.6%.

Will the Wildcats Make it Happen at Home?

Northwestern will look to continue their strong play at home, where they are 14-1 this season. They are also 13-1 as the favorite this year.

The Wildcats have won their last seven games at home, and they are 9-1 in their last 10 games at home. Overall, they have a record of 16-7.

As the favorite, Northwestern’s ATS record this year is 7-5-2, including going 2-1 in their last three games. At home, the Wildcats are 9-5-1 vs. the spread this season and 7-3 in their last 10 home games.

On the season, the over/under record in Northwestern games is 15-7, and today’s line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (137.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 162 points, and the over/under record in their last three games is 3-0.

The Wildcats’ offense wrapped up their last game with 80 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 75.2 points per contest. Offensively, the Wildcats have a season long field goal percentage of 47%, which is 76th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 23rd in percentage and 84th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Wildcats’ defense is ranked 120th in the country at 70.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Northwestern’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 36.4% this season.