Looking to win big? The Nittany Lions and Golden Gophers face off at 3:15 ET on BTN. The Golden Gophers are hosting the game at Williams Arena in Minneapolis, MN. This Big Ten conference matchup has an over/under of 150.5 points, and Minnesota is favored to win by -6.5 at home vs. Penn State.


The Pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers -6.5

This game will be played at Williams Arena at 3:15 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Golden Gophers.
  • Not only will Minnesota pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Nittany Lions Grab a Win in Minneapolis?

Despite being 2-10 on the road this season, Penn State has a record of 7-11 when listed as the underdog. The Nittany Lions are 14-15 overall and 8-10 in Big Ten play.

Coming off a 90-81 loss to Iowa, Penn State has gone 2-3 in its last five games away from home. The Nittany Lions’ average scoring margin on the road this season is -8.7 points per game.

As the underdog, Penn State has gone 10-7-1 vs. the spread this season and their ATS record is currently at .500 (14-14-1). On the road, the Nittany Lions are 5-6-1 vs. the spread this year and their ATS mark over their last three road games is 1-1-1.

So far this season, the over/under record in Penn State games is 18-10-1. The average scoring total in their games this year is 150.3 points, and the average over/under line in their games is 147.3. This season, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 150.5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0, and the average scoring total in those games is 168 points.

Penn State’s offense had a good outing, putting up 81 points against Iowa. They achieved a 45.1% field goal percentage and went 13/23 from the free-throw line. Adrian Baldwin Jr is leading the team in scoring at 14.1 points per contest. Kanye Clary has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 16.7 going into the game.

So far, the Nittany Lions’ defense is ranked 240th in the country at 74.5 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.8 threes per game vs. Minnesota. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.0%.

Will the Golden Gophers Make it Happen at Home?

Minnesota enters this game as 6.5-point favorites and they have been excellent at home this season, going 15-3 compared to 2-8 on the road. They have won four straight games at home and are 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.

Overall, the Golden Gophers are 17-11, but they have lost two straight games and are 8-9 in Big Ten play. They are 12-1 when favored this season.

Minnesota has been excellent against the spread this season, going 22-5-1. They have been even better vs. the spread at home, going 15-2-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Golden Gophers are 8-1-1 vs. the spread.

Minnesota’s over/under record this season is 16-12 and the average over/under line in their games is 143.8. So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 150.5. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 165 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

Minnesota’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 97 points vs. Illinois. Overall, they hit 60% of their shots from the field and went 11/16 from the free-throw line. For the season, the Minnesota offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 54% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 8.2 made three’s per contest.

On defense, Minnesota is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.0 points per game. In today’s game vs. Penn State, the Minnesota defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Minnesota made 19 free-throws vs. the Golden Gophers.