Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Nittany Lions and Spartans. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on PEAC, and it’s hosted by the Spartans at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Big Ten conference contest is set at 145.5 points, with the Spartans being the favored team playing at home against the Nittany Lions.


The Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions +13

This game will be played at Breslin Center at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 4th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Spartans.
  • Even though we have Michigan State winning straight-up, we like Penn State at +13.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Nittany Lions Offense Score Enough in East Lansing?

Penn State is entering their 14th game of the season with a 7-6 overall record. In the previous ten road games, including last year, Penn State went 4-6. Looking at Penn State’s ATS performance, they have a current record of 5-8. In their last ten games, Penn State has gone 3-2 ATS.

Penn State’s games have, on average, featured 147.8 points per game leading to an over/under record of 7-5-1. Their average over/under line is currently 142.9 points so far. The Nittany Lions’ have recorded an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 147 points per game.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Penn State’s offense scored 90 points against Rider. Their field goal percentage for the game was 54.5%, and they went 23/28 from the free-throw line. The Penn State offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25.2 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 32% of their looks from outside this season.

Currently, the Nittany Lions’ defense holds the 129th rank in the nation, allowing 70.3 points per game. Against Rider in their most recent game, the Penn State defense gave up a total of 63 points while allowing Rider to hit 54% of their shots.

Can Michigan State Deliver Being Favored at Home?

The Penn State Nittany Lions enter their game against Penn State with a record of 8-5. In their road games this season, the Spartans have a 0-1 record while they have an 8-4 record at home. Up to this point, Michigan State has been solid vs. the spread, sitting at 7-6 with a winning percentage above .500. Looking at their performance in the last five games, they have a 4-1 record vs. the spread.

Through 13 games, Michigan State has an over/under record of 6-7-0 with their games averaging a combined 141.8 points per game so far. In the Spartans’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 150 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 5-0.

The Michigan State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 87 points vs. Indiana State. Overall their field goal percentage was 47.5% while connecting on 6 threes. Tyson Walker was the leading scorer for the Spartans, putting up 22 points. In addition, Malik Hall contributed 18 points.

Michigan State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 39th nationally, with 64.5 points allowed per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.7 threes per game vs. Penn State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.7%.