Planning on watching today’s Nittany Lions and Hawkeyes game? Catch the action at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, IA, as the Hawkeyes hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on BTN. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 161.5 points, and Iowa is favored by -8.5 to win at home against Penn State.


The Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions +8.5

This game will be played at Carver-Hawkeye Arena at 9:00 ET on Tuesday, February 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Hawkeyes.
  • Even though we have Iowa winning straight-up, we like Penn State at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 161.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can Penn State Grab a Win on the Road?

After winning two straight games, Penn State will look to keep their momentum going on the road against Iowa. The Nittany Lions are 14-14 overall, including an 8-9 record in Big Ten play.

For the season, Penn State is 7-10 as the underdog. On the road, they have gone just 2-9, and their average margin of defeat is -8.6 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Penn State has an ATS record of 10-7 and an overall ATS mark of 14-14. On the road, the Nittany Lions are 5-6 vs. the spread and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have gone 7-3.

Today’s over/under line of 161.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Penn State games this season (146.7). So far, 20 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Penn State offense tallied 83 points in a matchup against Indiana. Their field goal percentage for the game was 45.3%, and they made 9 threes. The top scorer for the Nittany Lions was Adrian Baldwin Jr with 23 points, while Zach Hicks also added 17 to the scoreboard.

Coming into today’s game, the Penn State defense is giving up an average of 73.9 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.8 threes per game vs. Iowa. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.4%.

Is a Home Win Possible for Iowa?

Coming into today’s game, Iowa has an overall record of 16-12 and a conference record of 8-9. At home, the Hawkeyes are 13-4 this season and have won their last three games.

So far, Iowa has been favored in 16 of their 28 games, going 13-3 in those contests. As for their average scoring margin at home, it sits at +12.4 points per game.

When looking at Iowa’s ATS record this season, they are currently 11-17. At home, their ATS mark is 7-10. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Hawkeyes are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 161.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Iowa’s games this season (159.8). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Iowa’s offense scored 85 points against Illinois. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.6%, and they went 21/25 from the free-throw line. The team’s top scorer is Payton Sandfort, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.4, while Tony Perkins also carries a PPG average of 15.3 into the game.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Iowa is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 78.7 points per game (305th). Against Illinois in their most recent game, the Iowa defense gave up a total of 95 points while allowing Illinois to hit 49% of their shots.