Planning on watching today’s Nittany Lions and Hoosiers game? Catch the action at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington, IN, as the Hoosiers hosts this showdown at 12:00 ET on FS1. The over/under for this game is set at 150.5 points, and Indiana is favored by -5.5 vs. Penn State in a Big Ten conference matchup.
PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS VS INDIANA HOOSIERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Indiana Hoosiers -5.5
This game will be played at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall at 12:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.
WHY BET THE INDIANA HOOSIERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Hoosiers.
- Not only will Indiana pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Will the Nittany Lions Win in Bloomington?
After winning their last game against Rutgers by a score of 61-46, Penn State has a record of 10-11 this season and a Big Ten record of 4-6. On the road, the Nittany Lions have gone just 1-7 this season, and they are 4-7 when considered the underdog.
So far this season, Penn State has been an underdog in 11 of their 21 games, and they have gone 4-7 in those games. They will be the underdog again today, as Indiana is favored by 5.5 points.
As the underdog, Penn State has gone 6-5 vs. the spread this season and is 9-12 overall. On the road, the Nittany Lions are 3-5 ATS this year and have gone 4-5-1 in their last 10 road games.
Today’s over/under line of 150.5 for Penn State’s game against Indiana is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (145). This year, 16 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points.
The Penn State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 61 points vs. Rutgers. Overall their field goal percentage was 38.5% while connecting on 5 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Adrian Baldwin Jr with 15 points. D’Marco Dunn also added 14 points for the Nittany Lions.
Coming into today’s game, the Penn State defense is giving up an average of 73.4 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.0 threes per game vs. Indiana. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.0%.
Will Indiana Live Up to Expectations at Home?
Indiana enters this game as the favorite, which has been a role they have thrived in this season. They are 11-0 when favored and have a +3.6 average scoring margin at home. For the season, the Hoosiers are 11-3 at home, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at Assembly Hall.
On the other hand, Indiana has struggled on the road this season, going just 2-5. They have lost their last four road games and have an average scoring margin of -7.7 away from home.
As the favorite this season, Indiana has an ATS record of 6-4-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Hoosiers are 6-3-1 vs. the spread. At home, Indiana has an ATS mark of 8-6 this year and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Indiana’s over/under record this season sits at 10-11, and today’s line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (145.8). So far, 13 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points, which is similar to their season average of 147.3 points per game.
In their recent matchup, the Indiana offense ended with 74 points against Iowa. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.6% and made 8 threes. Malik Reneau is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16. Meanwhile, Kel’el Ware also brings a PPG average of 14.7 into the game.
At this time, the Hoosiers’ defense is positioned 211st in the country, permitting 73.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. Iowa, the Hawkeyes finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 68 points vs. Indiana.