Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green ATS Prediction 02/09/18

 
Friday, 02/09/2018 at 07:00 pm PENNSYLVANIA (17-6) at DARTMOUTH (4-16)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Results Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P FG% FT% 3PT% FG% FT% 3PT%
819PENNSYLVANIA 138 76.2 68.6 17-6 7-11-0 11-6-1 44.8% 65.3% 34.1% 40.7% 70.3% 29.8%
820DARTMOUTH +7 69.5 73.6 4-16 7-4-2 5-8-0 45% 73.7% 36.5% 46.8% 79% 35.7%

Last Updated: 2018-02-09

The Dartmouth Big Green (4-15, 0-6 Ivy) and the Penn Quakers (16-6, 6-0 Ivy) square off at Edward Leede Arena. The Big Green are 7-point underdogs and will attempt to snap their nine-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 139 points and it will air on ESPN Full Court at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, February 9, 2018.

Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green ATS Odds

In their last matchup, the Big Green lost a tough one against the Columbia Lions, 77-74, while the Quakers defeated the Princeton Tigers, 82-65.

Penn dominated every stat category in the game. They had an extraordinary effective field goal percentage of 0.616 (above their season average of 0.518) and a turnover percentage of 14.8 (better than their season average of 15.1). For those same stats, Princeton was 0.465 and 17.0, respectively. Dartmouth, on the other hand, did a terrific job of converting from the charity stripe (14-18; 77.8 percent). Adrease Jackson played well for Dartmouth with 24 points and 14 rebounds. Darnell Foreman had a good outing for Penn, contributing 21 points, five rebounds and five steals.

Second-chance points might be rare for Dartmouth in this showdown. The Big Green currently rank 304th in offensive rebounding percentage (24.5 percent), while Penn ranks ninth in defensive rebounding percentage (77.4 percent). It will also be a matchup of opposite paces as the fast-paced Quakers rank 54th in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Big Green rank 262nd.

Vegas tends to place the total low when the Quakers are involved, as 64.7 percent of their games have ended over the total. Penn has an excellent 16-6 straight up (SU) record, but they struggle covering the spread (7-10 against the spread (ATS)).

Unlike Penn, Big Green games have typically gone under the O/U total (58.3 percent). Additionally, Dartmouth owns records of 4-15 SU and 6-4-2 ATS.

The Big Green dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the last matchup, Dartmouth won 76-74. Dartmouth’s 0.093 free throw rate was their biggest strength over Penn, who had a mark of 0.055. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Penn Quakers at Dartmouth Big Green Free Pick

Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Penn, ATS Winner – Penn, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

Penn ranks 28th in rebounds per game (39.4) while Dartmouth ranks 273rd (30.6).

The Quakers rank 50th in steals allowed per game (5.5) while the Big Green rank 135th (6.5).

The Quakers rank 39th in three pointers attempted per game (25.9) while the Big Green rank 190th (20.9).

Penn ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (9.4) while Dartmouth ranks 142nd (13.5).

Penn is 4-4 ATS on the road, while Dartmouth is 1-1 ATS at home.

The total has gone over in 7 of the Quakers’ 8 road games, while 2 of the Big Green’s 2 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

In their last five games, Penn and Dartmouth are both 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

During their last five games, the Quakers have scored an average of 70.8 points per game (5.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 64.2 points per game (4.7 below their season average).

The Big Green’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.2, up from 4.2 for the season.

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