The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am will just be a “Pro” this year, as the amateur portion of the event has been cancelled due to COVID-19 protocols. There will be a charity event on Wednesday featuring Bill Murray, Kira K. Dixon, Larry Fitzgerald, Macklemore, Kathryn Newton, and Alfonso Ribiero, but that will be it for the celebrity appearances.
Fans will also not permitted on the Pebble Beach grounds, so after last week’s excitement from the gallery at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, spectators will not be on hand this week.
Only Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill Golf Course will be used this week. Monterey Peninsula Country Club is out of the rotation because there are no amateurs. The field will still feature 156 players, so it is a big field, just without the special pairings.
We’ll have the full odds from MyBookie Sportsbook down below the body of the article for you to check out. You can sign up at MyBookie and get a 100% Deposit Match Bonus plus a Free Futures Bet.
Last week’s PGA Tour event winner Brooks Koepka is not on hand, but Saudi International winner Dustin Johnson is. DJ is your +400 favorite per the odds at MyBookie, followed by Patrick Cantlay at +1000 and then Daniel Berger at +1800. Paul Casey is +2000, followed by Will Zalatoris at +2200 and then Jordan Spieth at +2500 and Francesco Molinari at +2800.
This is a little bit of a weaker event overall, especially among the 40/1 crowd, where players like Phil Mickelson, Max Homa, Si Woo Kim, and Cameron Davis reside. Mickelson is a five-time winner here and he actually won this event two years ago, with Paul Casey as the runner-up.
Some big prices have won this tournament in the past with guys like Nick Taylor, Ted Potter Jr., and Vaughn Taylor, but we’ve also seen Mickelson win five times, Jordan Spieth, and a couple of wins from Brandt Snedeker. DJ hasn’t won this event since 2010, but almost always competes well here.
Gary Woodland won the 2019 US Open by three shots here in 2019, but he is not playing this event.
Pebble Beach Golf Links is one of the most iconic courses in the United States. It will host the US Open again in 2027 and has held that major six times. The 1977 PGA Championship was also played there. There are a lot of signature holes to this par 72 that comes in around 7,100 yards. As we know, wind can kick up in a big way on this coastal track and playing well from the greenside hazards is extremely important.
It also helps to putt well. Jason Day led the field in SG: Putting on the Pebble Beach Golf Links course and tied for second in 2018. Last year’s winner, Nick Taylor, was also second in SG: Putting. Jordan Spieth was eighth in SG: Putting when he won in 2017. Rolling the rock is important here.
As far as the other course, Spyglass Hill, players will only play that course once, so you’ll want to focus more on Pebble Beach, which is the tougher of the two courses. Spyglass Hill is a pretty forgiving course from a driving accuracy standpoint, but that is where putting and distance can really help players gain some strokes on the field.
Yay or Neigh?
Our Horse for Course section includes a lot of data this week. A lot of players enjoy the lightheartedness of this event, but now it will just be a regular golf tournament. That could actually help some players more than it hurts. Past results are to be taken with a grain of salt to a degree here, as there will be no amateurs to get in the way and Monterey Peninsula will not be used for the first time since 2009.
There are a lot of names to mention here. Dustin Johnson has actually finished outside the top 30 each of the last two years, but he has eight top-10 finishes since 2008. Phil Mickelson has seven, including wins in 2012 and 2019. Jason Day has finished 11th or better in seven of his last eight starts here, but hasn’t been able to win. Daniel Berger has only played here twice, but he was fifth last year and 10th in 2015. Paul Casey has a second and an eighth, but he was 64th last year. Jordan Spieth won in 2017 and has three additional top-10 finishes and three more inside the top 25 since 2013.
Jimmy Walker has five top-10 finishes since 2011, including a win in 2014, but he’s missed the cut back-to-back years. Nick Taylor won last year and was 10th back in 2017. Scott Stallings had three top-15 finishes from 2017-19 before a MC last year.
Kevin Streelman is second, seventh, sixth, 14th, and 17th the last five years. He was a solid 22nd last week at TPC Scottsdale.
Lots of guys have sporadic top-five and top-10 finishes here in recent history.
Handicap & Picks
Among the short prices, Paul Casey looks the most interesting at +2000. He’s finished 12th, first, and eighth in his last three events, so he’s in outstanding form and he’s played well here. He’s also a top-notch wind player, so he’s definitely dangerous in this event.
It isn’t a bad idea to take some shots here, especially pre-tournament. You can find a guy a few shots back heading to Pebble Beach for the weekend and get a better price on one of the short numbers.
That means a look at a guy like Peter Malnati at +9000. Malnati was 10th two weeks ago here in California at the Farmers Insurance Open and 14th down at the Sony Open in Hawaii. Malnati was a solid 11th here last year. He’s 60th in SG: Tee-to-Green over his 21 measured rounds and fourth in SG: Putting. The 34-year-old has played well with his irons and wedges and those are important clubs at Pebble Beach.
Henrik Norlander at 60/1 is a boom or bust player here. He’s 25th in SG: Off-the-Tee and 33rd in SG: T2G, but he’s had major problems scrambling and playing from the sand. If he’s accurate enough to avoid those problems around the green, he can be a factor, but that is a little bit of a tall order. He was second and 12th in the two California events before a 22nd last week in Arizona.
Andrew Putnam might be rounding into form at the right time at +12500. Putnam fired a final-round 65 at the Waste Management to finish seventh. He was 21st at The American Express three weeks ago. Putnam rolls the ball very well and has actually done a nice job of scrambling this season. He hasn’t played well off the tee at all, but he putts well and plays well around the green. Like I said, you can take some long shots here.
Coverage of the Pebble Beach Pro-Am without the amateurs will be on Golf Channel and CBS this weekend.
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ODDS FOR THE 2021 PEBBLE BEACH PRO-AM FROM MYBOOKIE SPORTSBOOK
|Si Woo Kim||+4000|
|Rafael Cabrera Bello||+6000|
|Harold Varner III||+11000|
|Ted Potter Jr||+16000|
|J B Holmes||+20000|
|C T Pan||+22500|
|Min Woo Lee||+25000|
|D J Trahan||+30000|
|K J Choi||+35000|
|J J Spaun||+40000|
|Bo Van Pelt||+75000|
|D A Points||+150000|