Planning on watching today’s Tigers and Waves game? Catch the action at Firestone Fieldhouse in Malibu, CA, as the Waves hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. This West Coast conference matchup has an over/under of 143.5 points, and the Waves are favored to win at home vs. the Tigers.
PACIFIC TIGERS VS PEPPERDINE WAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pacific Tigers +12.5
This game will be played at Firestone Fieldhouse at 10:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE PACIFIC TIGERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Waves.
- Even though we have Pepperdine winning straight-up, we like Pacific at +12.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Pacific?
After losing their last game to Portland by a score of 78-64, Pacific has now lost seven straight games. On the season, the Tigers are 6-11, including a 0-1 record in West Coast Conference games. They have gone 1-6 on the road, where they are being outscored by an average of 21.3 points per game.
So far this season, Pacific has been the underdog in nine of their 17 games, going just 1-8 in those contests. As the underdog, they have been outscored by an average of 12.8 points per game. Today, they are 12.5-point underdogs to Pepperdine.
As the underdog this season, Pacific has gone just 2-7 vs. the spread. On the road, the Tigers are 2-5 ATS and just 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. However, Pacific has posted a solid 2-1 ATS mark in their last three games as the underdog.
On the season, the over/under record for Pacific is 3-11, and today’s over/under line of 143.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (144.9). So far, 8 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points.
In their recent matchup, the Pacific offense ended with 64 points against Portland. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 40.4% and made 6 threes. The top scorer for the Tigers was Cam Denson with 16 points, while Nicquel Blake also chipped in with 12 points.
Coming into today’s game, the Pacific defense is giving up an average of 75.1 points per contest. So far, the Pacific defense is giving up an average of 8.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.7 times per game (623rd).
Do the Waves Stand a Chance at Home?
Pepperdine will look to snap a two-game losing streak when they host Pacific on Thursday. The Waves are 7-10 this season, including a 5-4 record at home. They have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games at home.
For the year, Pepperdine has been favored in six of their 17 games, going 5-1 in those contests. They have yet to win a game as the underdog, going 0-9.
As the favorite this season, Pepperdine has an impressive ATS mark of 5-1. Their overall ATS record is 6-9, but they are 5-4 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Waves have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.
On the season, the over/under record in Pepperdine games is 5-8-2 and today’s line of 143.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 150.8. So far, 13 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-1-1.
In their recent matchup, the Pepperdine offense ended with 72 points against Santa Clara. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.6% and made 6 threes. Michael Ajayi is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17.6 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Houston Mallette brings a PPG average of 16 into the game.
Coming into today’s game, the Pepperdine defense is giving up an average of 71.6 points per contest. Against Santa Clara in their most recent game, the Pepperdine defense gave up a total of 78 points while allowing Santa Clara to hit 45% of their shots.