Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Senators versus the Sabres? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY. The over/under for this Atlantic division contest is set at 7 goals, with the Sabres being the favored team playing at home against the Senators.
OTTAWA SENATORS VS BUFFALO SABRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Buffalo Sabres -1.5
This game will be played at KeyBank Center at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE BUFFALO SABRES:
- In spite of being 1.5 goal underdogs, we anticipate the Senators winning this one 4-3.
- We like the Senators on the moneyline (+111)
- The Senators are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
Will Ottawa Come Through as Road Underdogs?
On the season, Ottawa has struggled to a 14-22-0 record, putting them in 16th place in the Eastern Conference and 8th in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, the Senators have gone just 3-7 and have dropped four straight games overall. As the underdog, Ottawa has gone 6-14-0 this season.
When playing on the road, the Senators have gone just 4-12-0 this season and have lost four straight games away from home. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, Ottawa has gone 11-11 this year.
On the road this season, Ottawa has a puck line record of 6-10, and they come into this game with a puck line losing streak of four games. So far, the Senators’ average scoring margin on the road is at -.8 goals per game.
So far, the Senators have been the underdog in 20 of their games, and their puck line record as the underdog is at 9-11. Ottawa has just two wins in their last ten games against the puck line, and their road puck line record for the year is at 2-8 in their last ten games.
The average goal total for Ottawa’s games is sitting at 6.9. The average over/under line for the season is 6.6. The Senators come in with an over/under record of 19-14-3.
In their last three games away from home, the Senators have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 1 goals per game in this stretch.
Offensively, the Senators come into the game at 3.3 goals per contest placing 22nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 26th position in the league. So far this year, the Senators are 8-13 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 6-9 in games with fewer shots on goal.
Ottawa’s current leading scorer is Brady Tkachuk. This season, he has 17 goals, which puts him 28th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Tkachuk has 12 assists this season.
In terms of defense, the Sabres head into the game ranked 18th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.6 shots per game against Buffalo. So far, they are 27th in shutouts, achieving 1 shutouts.
Heading into this matchup vs. Buffalo, goalie Anton Forsberg has started 14 games in this season. His current record is 7-8, and his save percentage stands at 0.534%.
Can Buffalo Deliver Being Favored at Home?
At home this season, the Sabres have a record of 8-10-1, and they have been favored in 14 of their 41 games. In the Eastern Conference, Buffalo is 14th with 38 points, and they have gone 12-17 in conference games. Over their last ten games, the Sabres have a record of 4-6, and they have won three of their last five games.
Overall, Buffalo has gone 17-20-4 this season, and they are 7th in the Atlantic Division. Against other teams in the Atlantic, the Sabres have a record of 6-6. As the favorite, Buffalo has gone 7-6-1 this season, and they have been the underdog in 27 of their games.
Buffalo enters the game with an overall puck line record of 20-21 and have gone 2-1 against the puck line in their last three games. So far, the Sabres have 12 wins by multiple goals and have lost by multiple goals 15 times this season.
When playing at home, Buffalo has a puck line record of just 6-13 and has gone 3-7 against the puck line in their last 10 home games. Overall, the Sabres have gone 3-11 against the puck line when favored and are 14-8 against the puck line on the road.
For the season, Buffalo’s games have finished with an average of 6.4 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.5. Overall, the Sabres have an over/under record of 18-22-1.
Through their last three road games, Ottawa has an puck line record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 1 goals per game.
On the offensive side, the Sabres are scoring an 3 goals per game this season, ranking 19th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 8th in the league. The Buffalo offense is ranked 29th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 19th in the NHL.
Buffalo will be looking for a good game from Jeff Skinner who leads the team in scoring with 17 goals, ranking 26th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 16 assists so far.
Buffalo defense takes on the Senators ranked 18th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.6 shots per game against Buffalo. They also are 27th in shutouts, with 1 shutouts.
Heading into this matchup vs. Ottawa, goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has started 16 games in this season. His current record is 8-8, and his save percentage stands at 0.631%.