At 7:30 ET, the Heat (-165) will host the Magic (+137) in a Southeast Division matchup. Miami is favored by 3.5 points in a game that will be played at the Kaseya Center.

Orlando (27-23) has won three straight and is currently 7th in the Eastern Conference. Miami (26-24) is 8th in the East and second in the Southeast Division.


The Pick: Miami Heat -3.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, February 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-109 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Jimmy Butler finishing with Jimmy Butler points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.2% and knocking down 16 threes.

Will the Magic Defense Show Up on the Road?

Orlando has won three straight games on the road and has an overall record of 12-16 on the road this season. In the Eastern Conference, the Magic are 7th with a record of 27-23.

The Magic have covered the spread in their last four road games and have an ATS record of 18-10 on the road. As underdogs, they are 15-20 straight-up and 22-13 against the spread.

This season, Orlando’s games have averaged a combined scoring total of 222.2 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 211.5. The Magic are 23-27 on the over/under this season.

In their last game, the Magic defeated the Pistons by a score of 111-99. The O/U line for that game was 230 points. Orlando covered the spread as 6.5-point favorites.

For the season, the Magic have an ATS record of 33-17, which is the 5th-best in the NBA. They have covered the spread in their last five games.

When it comes to scoring, the Magic are 25th in the NBA at 111.6 points per game. However, they are averaging just 109.6 points per game on the road.

In terms of pace, Orlando is 21st in the league at 98.1 possessions per game. They are also 20th in field goal percentage at 46%.

One area where the Magic have excelled is getting to the free-throw line. They are 3rd in the NBA in free-throw attempts at 26.1 per game.

Coming into the game, the Magic defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 40.0% of their games. Currently, they are 5th in the NBA at 110.6 points per game allowed. In their previous matchup vs. the Pistons, the Magic’s defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 53% leading to 99 points.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Heat?

Miami is favored by 3.5 points in today’s game against the Magic. As the favorite, the Heat have gone 20-10 this season, and they have won two straight games as the favorite. Their ATS record as the favorite is 12-15.

As the favorite, Miami has gone 12-15 against the spread at home and 8-12 ATS as the favorite overall. On average, they have outscored their opponents by 1 point per game when favored.

In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are currently in 8th place with a record of 26-24. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place. This season, Miami is 19-15 against other teams in the East and 7-9 in non-conference games.

Miami’s last game was a 103-95 loss to the Clippers. The O/U line for that game was 223.5, and the teams combined for just 198 points. Miami was a 5.5-point underdog in that game, and they did not cover the spread.

This season, Miami has an O/U record of 20-30, and the under has hit in their last four games. On average, their games have finished with 221.4 points, and today’s O/U line is 211.5.

At home, the Heat are averaging 112.9 points per game, which is 23rd in the NBA. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 110.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 27th in the league at 46%. So far, they have made 12.3 three-pointers per game, which is 16th in the NBA.

On average, the Heat are getting to the free-throw line 23.3 times per game, which is 12th in the league. From beyond the arc, they are shooting 37%, which is 9th in the NBA. In terms of offensive rebounds, Miami is 25th with an average of 9.7 per game.

So far this season, the Heat’s scoring has been below the NBA average in 68% of their games. They are currently on a two-game streak of scoring less than their season average. In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the league at 96.2 possessions per game.

In the current season, the Heat defense has excelled, sitting 7th in the NBA by allowing 111.2 points per game. Opponents are hitting 55.4% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.0% of their three-point attempts.