At 8:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-163) will host the Orlando Magic (+135) in a Southeast Division matchup. The Heat are currently favored by 3.5 points and will be looking to improve upon their 21-16 record. Meanwhile, the Magic are 21-16 as well and sit in 8th place in the Eastern Conference.

This game will take place at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on BSSU. The over/under line for this game is currently sitting at 219 points.


The Pick: Miami Heat -3.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, January 12th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-107 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Jimmy Butler finishing with Jimmy Butler points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.8% and knocking down 16 threes.

Will the Magic Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Orlando is 21-16 overall this season and is 8th in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 6-7 compared to 15-9 against other teams in the East.

As the underdog, Orlando has gone 11-14 straight up and 16-9 ATS. On the road, they are 8-11 straight up and 12-7 ATS. Today, they are 3.5-point underdogs and have an O/U record of 18-19 this season.

In their last game, the Magic lost to the Timberwolves by a score of 113-92. The over/under line for the game was 217, and the teams combined for just 205 points. Orlando was also an underdog in this game, going in as 5-point underdogs.

This season, 30 of Orlando’s 37 games have had higher over/under lines than 219. The under has hit in each of their last two games. For the season, their games have averaged 225.3 points per game.

This season, the Magic are 12th in pace at 99.8 possessions per game. They are 20th in scoring at 113.3 points per game and have been held below the NBA average in 56.8% of their games.

When it comes to shooting, Orlando is 18th in field goal percentage at 46%. They have been successful at getting to the free-throw line, ranking 2nd in attempts at 26.7 per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 27th in both attempts and percentage.

So far, the Magic have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 115.7 points compared to 111.1 on the road. Overall, they are 11th in offensive rebounds but just 26th in assists.

At present, the Magic’s defense is ranked 9th, allowing 112.0 points per game. Opponents are hitting 54.8% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.8% of their three-point attempts.

Is a Home Win Possible for Miami?

Miami is 21-16 overall and is in 7th place in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 6-6 compared to 15-10 vs. other Eastern Conference teams.

At home, the Heat are 10-7 straight up and 6-11 vs. the spread. As the favorite, they have a record of 15-5 but are just 9-10 ATS. Their average scoring differential at home is +0.2 PPG.

For the season, Miami has been the favorite in all but 17 of their games. As the favorite, they have a scoring differential of +2.9 PPG. Against the spread, they are 8-9 as the underdog and have lost two straight ATS as the underdog.

In their last game, Miami lost to the Thunder by a score of 128-120. They were 4.5-point underdogs going into the game, resulting in an 8-point ATS loss. The game’s total of 248 points was higher than the O/U line of 233.5.

The average over/under line in Miami’s games this season is 222.7, higher than today’s line of 219. The over has hit in two straight games for the Heat, bringing their O/U record to 18-19 for the season.

At home this season, the Heat are averaging 117.1 points per game, which is 12th in the NBA. Overall, they are 23rd in scoring at 112.9 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the league at 96.9 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 3rd in the NBA at 38% from beyond the arc. For the season, they are making an average of 12.9 threes per game (14th).

So far, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.2% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, the Heat are 19th in the league at 46%. In terms of assists, they are 14th at 26.2 per game.

The Heat’s defense is presently ranked 10th in the league, allowing an average of 112.1 points per contest. Miami’s defense is currently forcing 12.4 turnovers per game, which is 8th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 30th in blocked shots, with an average of 3.3 rejections per game.