The Orlando Magic (8-4) will travel to Pepsi Center to go head-to-head against the Denver Nuggets (7-5). The Magic opened as 8-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 222 points and it will air on Fox SportsNet Florida at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 11, 2017.
Orlando Magic at Denver Nuggets Betting Odds
Both teams defeated their last opponent. The Nuggets defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder 102-94, while the Magic beat the Phoenix Suns 128-112.
The Magic had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.354 (above their season average of 0.180) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.604 (above their season average of 0.543). Meanwhile, Denver’s free throw rate was their largest strength over Oklahoma City. The Nuggets had a rate of 0.207 (above their season average of 0.186), while the Thunder posted a mark of 0.078 (below their season average of 0.164). Paul Millsap played well for Denver, recording 17 points, seven rebounds and six blocks. Aaron Gordon, meanwhile fueled Orlando with 22 points and seven rebounds.
Denver figures to have an edge on the offensive glass in this contest. The Nuggets rank sixth in offensive rebounding percentage (25.2 percent), while Orlando ranks 27th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.2 percent). Additionally, the Magic rank fourth in effective field goal percentage (0.547), whereas the porous defense of the Nuggets ranks 23rd with an effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.525.
Games featuring the Magic have a tendency to go under the O/U total (63.6 percent). Orlando heads into the contest with records of 8-4 straight up (SU) and 6-5 against the spread (ATS).
Similarly to Orlando, games including the Nuggets also have a tendency to finish under the projected point total (66.7 percent). Additionally, Denver is 7-5 SU and 4-8 ATS.
The Nuggets dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the last matchup, Denver won 125-112. The Nuggets’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Magic. Denver had a rate of 25.0, while Orlando posted a mark of 18.9. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Orlando Magic vs. Denver Nuggets Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
The Magic rank 14th in three pointers attempted per game (29.3) while the Nuggets rank 23rd in three pointers allowed per game (31.3).
Denver averages 50.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks third in the league. Orlando ranks 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.0).
The Magic rank eighth in steals per game (8.4) while the Nuggets rank 23rd in steals allowed per game (9.1).
Orlando ranks 12th in points off turnovers per game (17.9) while Denver ranks 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (21.8).
Denver averages 45.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Orlando ranks 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (45.9).
The Nuggets average 15.8 second chance points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Magic rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
The Nuggets average 15.2 fast break points per game, which ranks third in the league. The Magic rank 17th in fast break points allowed per game (10.8).
Orlando averages 5.3 blocks per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Denver ranks 12th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
Orlando averages 25.3 assists per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Denver ranks 20th in assists allowed per game (23.2).
When holding opponents below 100 points, Orlando is 5-0 and Denver is 3-0.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Magic are 8-2 and the Nuggets are 5-3.
Denver is 3-4 ATS at home, while Orlando is 3-2 ATS on the road.
The Magic have 3 unders and 2 overs in 5 road games.
The Nuggets have 5 unders and 2 overs in 7 home games.
The Magic are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 2-3.
In their last five games, Orlando has 5 unders, while Denver has 3 unders and 2 overs.
During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 102.4 points per game (8.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.8 points per game (2.4 below their season average).
The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 1.1 for the season.