The 2021 Pac-12 Conference Championship Game brings the second clash of the season between the Ducks and Utes, so we have prepared the best Oregon vs. Utah betting pick and odds for Friday, December 3.
Just a couple of weeks ago, the Utes demolished the Ducks 38-7 as 3-point home favorites with a total of 58.5 points. According to BetDSI Sportsbook, Utah is a 3-point fave for this one at the neutral site at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, while the totals are listed at 59.0 points.
Oregon beat Oregon State to win the North Division
The Oregon Ducks (10-2; 5-7 ATS) clinched their spot in the conference championship game with a 38-29 home victory to the Oregon State Beavers this past Saturday. They bounced back from that heavy loss at the Utes and dominated the Beavers from start to finish.
The Ducks outgained Oregon State 506-393. They had a huge 24-3 lead at halftime, controlling the flow of the game, as Oregon had the ball in possession for 37:04. Senior signal-caller Anthony Brown led the way for the Ducks and tossed for 275 yards and a pair of touchdowns while carrying the ball 14 times for 83 yards and a TD.
Oregon leans on its ground game, posting 213.3 rushing yards per game (19th in the country) and 5.4 per carry (tied-6th). The Ducks score 33.2 points per game (33rd) and surrender 24.4 in a return (tied-21st) on 124.2 rushing yards (25th) and 247.2 passing yards per game (98th).
Utah shoots for its sixth straight W
The Utah Utes are riding a five-game winning streak following a 28-13 home victory over the Colorado Buffaloes in Week 13. They failed to cover a huge 24-point spread, but it was another easy win for the Utes, who improved to 8-1 in the conference play and fully deserved their South Division title.
Utah held the Buffaloes to a paltry 148 total yards and nine 1st downs. The Utes racked up 444 all-purpose yards in a return, and sophomore RB Tavion Thomas led the way with 25 totes for 142 yards and a TD. Sophomore QB Cameron Rising went 14-of-23 for 179 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception, while junior TE Dalton Kincaid added four receptions for 55 yards and a TD.
The Utes are a run-heavy team, averaging 218.3 rushing yards per game (15th in the nation) and 5.7 per carry (tied-1st). They score 35.3 points per contest (tied-21st) and allow 21.5 in a return (29th) on 126.0 rushing yards (27th) and 199.3 passing yards per game (24th).
- 6-11 ATS in the last 17 games overall
- 4-1 ATS in the last five outings as favorites of three or fewer points
Oregon vs. Utah Pick
This could be a revenge game for the Ducks, but I’m backing the Utes to get another win over Oregon and overthrow the two-time defending champions. Last year, Oregon beat USC 31-24, while the Ducks smashed Utah 37-15 two years ago. Hereof, it’s a revenge spot for the Utes, too.
We should see a much tighter contest than that one in Week 12. Both teams are capable of playing tough defense, and they’ll heavily rely on rushing, so betting on the totals might be the best move in this matchup. I think the Utes will win this clash by the line of scrimmage, but the Ducks are a very dangerous team that should keep it close down the stretch.
Pick: Take Utah Utes -3.0 at -110
Two weeks ago, the Utes and Ducks combined for 45 points, while Utah outgained Oregon 386-294. Both teams took good care of the ball, but the Ducks just couldn’t get things going on the ground, tallying only 63 yards on 23 totes. On the other side, the Utes ran 50 times for 208 yards, and I expect to see more of the same this time around.
The under has hit in four of Oregon’s last five outings as an underdog, while the over is 3-1 in the last four meetings between the Ducks and Utes and 6-2 in Utah’s previous eight games overall.
Pick: Go under 59.0 points at -110