Planning on watching today’s Rebels and Bulldogs game? Catch the action at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS, as the Bulldogs hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ESPN2. The over/under for this game is set at 142.5 points, and Mississippi State is favored by -7.5 vs. Ole Miss in a Southeastern conference matchup.


The Pick: Ole Miss Rebels +7.5

This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum at 9:00 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Even though we have Mississippi State winning straight-up, we like Ole Miss at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Does Ole Miss Have What it Takes on the Road?

Despite a 4-5 record on the road this season, Ole Miss has been perfect when favored, going 16-0. However, the Rebels are 3-6 when they are the underdog, and they come into this game as 7.5-point underdogs.

On the road, Ole Miss has struggled as of late, going just 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home. In their last game, the Rebels beat Missouri 79-76, and they are 19-6 overall this season.

On the season, Ole Miss has an ATS record of 13-12, including a road mark of 4-5. Over their last 3 road games, the Rebels are 2-1 vs. the spread and 2-3 in their last 5 road games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Ole Miss’ games is 14-11. Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is very close to the average OU line in their games this season (142.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points.

In their latest game, Ole Miss’ offense looked good, scoring 79 points against Missouri. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 43.4% and made 22/30 free throws. Offensively, the Rebels hold a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, placing them 169th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 40th in terms of percentage and 169th in three-pointers made.

The Rebels’ defense is presently ranked 166th nationally, allowing an average of 71.8 points per contest. The Ole Miss defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 76 points and allowed Missouri to connect on 11 threes.

Will the Bulldogs Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

Mississippi State is 12-2 at home this season and has won four straight games at home. For the year, the Bulldogs have been favored in 19 of 25 games and have gone 15-4 as the favorite.

Coming off a 71-67 win over Arkansas, Mississippi State has won three straight games and has gone 8-2 in its last 10 games at home.

Mississippi State’s ATS record this season is currently 12-12-1. At home, the Bulldogs have gone 7-6-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Mississippi State is 4-5-1 and they are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Mississippi State’s over/under record this season is 10-14-1, and today’s over/under line of 142.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (140.3). So far, 15 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total is just 133 points.

The Bulldogs’ offense finished with 71 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 74.1 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Josh Hubbard, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 15, while Cameron Matthews also maintains a PPG average of 9.6 leading up to the game.

Mississippi State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 67th nationally, with 67.4 points allowed per game. In today’s game, the Mississippi State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 4 three-pointers while giving up 67 points.