|161: OKLAHOMA ST
|162: IOWA ST
Last Updated: 2017-11-07
On Saturday, November 11, 2017, the No. 11 ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys travel to Jack Trice Stadium to take on the No. 15 ranked Iowa State Cyclones in this Big12 showdown. Both of these teams are coming off of tough losses, Oklahoma State losing last weekend to Oklahoma and Iowa State falling to West Virginia. This has pretty much locked both teams out of a chance at winning the conference title and has now relegated both to looking for the best possible bowl game that they can reach.
Oklahoma State finds themselves at 5-4 against the spread so far this season, including going 2-4 against the spread in their last six games when playing on the road at Iowa State. They are 7-3 overall on the road in their last 10 games against the spread and have gone under in six of the last eight games on the road.
Iowa State has gone 6-2-1 against the spread so far this season, including going 4-1 in their last five games against the spread. They have also gone under in six of their last seven games, but are 8-2-1 against the spread in their last 11 games at home.
Cowboys vs. Cyclones
Spread: Oklahoma State -7 (+105); Iowa State +7 (-115) at 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Moneyline: Oklahoma State -255; Iowa State +215
Totals: Over/Under61.5 (-110)
OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS
While the Oklahoma State Cowboys suffered a tough loss last weekend, it wasn’t because of the play of their offense. This is a group that is averaging 44.5 points per game, and has stepped up all season long, scoring at least 31 points in every game but one in scoring 50 points in five of their contests so far this season.
It has come because of the exceptional play of quarterback Mason Rudolph, who has thrown for 22 touchdowns and 2866 yards while completing 65.6 percent of his passes. Rudolph has been absolutely brilliant and looked magnificent against Oklahoma last week, throwing for 448 yards and five touchdowns.
His running back is Justice Hill who was also having quite a year. He rushed for 228 yards against Oklahoma last weekend and now has 836 yards and seven touchdowns on the season. This is a fantastic one-two punch, which should be a real challenge for the Cyclones defense, primarily because Iowa State does not score a lot of points. If the Cowboys should score more than 27 points in this game the Cyclones are done.
While the Cowboys offense has looked magnificent, the defense has been suspect, to say the least. They gave up 62 to the Sooners last week, a week after giving up 39 to West Virginia. They have looked outstanding at times, giving up just 16 to Baylor and 10 to Texas, but have given up better than 34 points four times this year. The Cyclones don’t pose a huge risk offensively, but they can’t be taken for granted either. The Cowboys need a better offensive showing.
IOWA STATE CYCLONES
After huge upset victories over Texas Tech and TCU, Iowa State laid a huge goose egg last week at West Virginia, falling 20-16. This is a difficult team to figure out, because they have beaten such teams as Oklahoma as well, and have shown that they can win the big game. That gives them a real good shot against Oklahoma State, but if this team played a little more consistently they would be in the national championship discussion right now.
The reason that the Cyclones have been so successful this season starts with the defense that is giving up less than 19 points per contest. That has included giving up 17 points or less in five games this year, but it has been their offense that has not been able to pick up the slack when the defense has played well.
There is an outstanding running game for the Iowa State Cyclones led by David Montgomery who has 831 yards rushing and eight touchdowns. He is going to have to have an enormous game against Oklahoma State, keeping that potent offense on the field so his defense can get a break.
The Cyclones are also going to have to find a way to get more pressure on the quarterback, recording just 15 sacks this season. If they let Rudolph stand in the pocket uncontested for five or six seconds on every play their secondary is going to get burned all game long.
Cowboys vs. Cyclones Betting Lines
Iowa State has proven to be a difficult team to figure out this year. They have beaten some of the top competition in the country, but have found a way to give away games that they probably should have won. It’s easy to look at this and say Oklahoma State should dominate because of that offense, but the Cyclones defense has figured out a way to step up when it mattered the most. Take Iowa State and the points but expect Oklahoma State to win. Also, take the under.
My Pick: Iowa State +7 (-115)
Totals:Under 61.5 (-110)