Planning on watching today’s Sooners and Cyclones game? Catch the action at Hilton Coliseum in Ames, IA, as the Cyclones hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 137 points, and Iowa State is favored by -9.5 to win at home against Oklahoma.


The Pick: Oklahoma Sooners +9.5

This game will be played at Hilton Coliseum at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Cyclones.
  • Even though we have Iowa State winning straight-up, we like Oklahoma at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Sooners Exceed Expectations on the Road?

After starting the season with a 13-1 record, Oklahoma has gone just 6-7 in Big 12 play, including back-to-back losses. On the road, the Sooners are 3-4 this year, and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home.

Overall, Oklahoma is 19-8 this season, and they have been the underdog in eight of their 27 games. As the underdog, the Sooners are just 3-5, and they are 3-2 in their last five games on the road.

As the underdog this season, Oklahoma has gone 3-5 vs. the spread. On the road, the Sooners’ ATS mark is 3-4 this year and 4-6 in their last 10 games. Their overall ATS record sits at 13-13.

Today’s over/under line of 137 is lower than the average over/under line in Oklahoma’s games this season (144.1). So far, the over/under record in their games is 11-15. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points.

Most recently, the Oklahoma offense finished with just 57 points vs. Kansas. For the game, they hit 8/23 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 32%. The team’s scoring leader is Javian McCollum, who holds an average of 14 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Otega Oweh is averaging 12.1 points per game this season.

The Sooners’ defense is presently ranked 56th nationally, allowing an average of 67.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Oklahoma’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.6% this season.

Will the Cyclones Find a Way to Win at Home?

At home this season, Iowa State has been dominant, going 16-1 with an average scoring margin of +24.1 points per game. They have won 12 straight games at home and are 17-2 when favored this season.

Recently, the Cyclones have been on a roll, winning their last five games and going 10-0 in their last 10 at home. Their overall record this season is 21-6, including a 10-4 mark in Big 12 play.

At home this season, Iowa State has an ATS record of 12-4-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cyclones have gone 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 137 is lower than the average over/under line in Iowa State’s games this season (138.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points compared to their season average of 140.9 points per game. On the year, their over/under record is 15-12.

Against West Virginia, the Iowa State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 77.9 points per game. They scored 71 points and posted a field goal percentage of 45% in the game. The top scorer for the Cyclones was Tamin Lipsey with 14 points, while Curtis Jones also chipped in with 12 points.

So far, the Cyclones’ defense is ranked 10th in the country at 62.9 points per contest. Iowa State’s three-point defense is currently 199th in the country at 7.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.7% of their shots vs. Iowa State.