Oklahoma vs. San Diego State Pick
- Updated: March 21, 2013
College Basketball Picks
Date/Time: March 22nd, 9:20 pm ET
College Basketball Odds from BetDSI
Point Spread: San Diego State -2.5
Basketball Betting Game Trends
- Oklahoma is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Mountain West.
- Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
- Over is 6-1 in Oklahoma’s last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
- Over is 5-1 in Oklahoma’s last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 14-3 in Oklahoma’s last 17 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Oklahoma’s last 5 games following a ATS loss.
San Diego State Aztecs
- San Diego State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
- San Diego State is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big 12.
- Over is 5-1 in San Diego State’s last 6 Friday games.
- Under is 4-1 in San Diego State’s last 5 overall.
The San Diego State Aztecs are going to be the final team out of the Mountain West to start their push towards the Final Four here in the NCAA Tournament. They’ll meet up with the Oklahoma Sooners on Friday night in the City of Brotherly Love.
Oklahoma is coming into the dance in poor form, and that has to be a real concern at this point. The Sooners were beaten by the Iowa State Cyclones in the quarterfinals of the Big XII Tournament, but perhaps more importantly, they were beaten by the TCU Horned Frogs in the regular season finale. When you really look back at it, there aren’t a lot of solid wins here down the stretch. Home wins against Iowa State and Baylor were nice, but the last really quality win the club had came against Kansas when the Jayhawks were in the dumps. It’s also not a team that we perceive to be superiorly talented either. F Romero Osby is a heck of a post player, but we find it hard to believe that he is going to be able to log anywhere near his averages of 15.8 points and 7.0 boards per game against the Aztecs. It is going to be up to G Steven Pledger to knock down some shots from the outside to carry this team, and he only averaged 11.8 points per game this season.
The gauntlet that the Aztecs ran this year to get to the dance was tremendously difficult, as the Mountain West really beat itself up all season long. However, there are definitely some games that are in this mix that make us really wonder whether SDSU was as good as it was cracked up to be this year. The Aztecs have losses to teams like Syracuse (by 12), Wyoming (by 13), and Air Force (by 3), not to mention the fact that they only went 4-5 in their final nine games of the season. Last year’s team basically had the same core of players, and it was a club that figured to do a lot more damage than this team is assumed to here in the dance. G Jamaal Franklin, G Chase Tapley, G Xavier Thames, and G James Rahon all have comparable numbers to what they had last year, and this core of players is going to be expected to go a lot further than last year’s team ultimately went when it got knocked out in the first round by NC State.
Expectations are a lot higher for the Aztecs than they are for the Sooners, and we think that could play a real factor in this one. Oklahoma almost feels like it is just happy to be here, and it really played poorly down the stretch after it had that coveted NCAA Tournament bid wrapped up. We think that SDSU will thrive off of that and answer the bell here in Philly to move on to a potential date with Georgetown on Sunday. San Diego State 68 – Oklahoma 61