At 10:00 ET, the 2nd place Thunder (-800) will travel to Portland to take on the 14th place Trail Blazers (+553) in a Northwest Division matchup. The over/under line for this game is 224.

Portland is considered a 12.5-point underdog in this game and will look to improve on their 17-43 record. Oklahoma City is 42-19 on the season and is currently 2nd in the Western Conference.


The Pick: Portland Trail Blazers +12.5

This game will be played at Moda Center at 10:00 ET on Wednesday, March 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-106 in favor of the Thunder.
  • Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.0% and knocking down 14 threes.

Will the Thunder Win in Portland?

Today, the Thunder are favored by 12.5 points against the Trail Blazers. This season, Oklahoma City has been favored in 45 of their 61 games, going 33-12 in those games.

Oklahoma City’s ATS record for the season is 39-22, and they are 18-13 ATS on the road. However, they have not covered the spread in their last two games.

In their most recent game, the Thunder lost to the Lakers by a score of 116-104. They were favored by 1 point going into the game. The O/U line for the game was 240 points.

For the season, the Thunder have an O/U record of 33-27-1. In their last two games, the final score has been lower than the posted O/U line.

Oklahoma City is currently 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 42-19. Against Western Conference opponents, they are 26-15 compared to 16-4 in non-conference games.

On the road, the Thunder have an average scoring differential of +3.5 points per game. In their last seven road games, they are 4-3 straight up and 4-3 ATS.

So far this season, the Thunder are averaging 120.9 points per game, which is 4th in the NBA. However, they have scored below the league average in 31.1% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder are 2nd in field goal percentage at 50%. They are also 1st in true shooting percentage. From beyond the arc, they are hitting 39% of their shots, which is the best mark in the league.

On average, the Thunder are making 13.4 three-pointers per game, which is 10th in the NBA. In terms of free throws, they are 13th in made free throws at 18 per game.

On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 13th in the league in points allowed at 113.3 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 119.3 points per contest (18th). In the terms of takeaways, Thunder are causing 11.5 turnovers per game, ranking 2nd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 1st in rejections, averaging 6.8 blocked shots each game.

Can the Trail Blazers Pull the Upset at Home?

In their last three games, the Trail Blazers have covered the spread and have an ATS record of 28-32 for the season. At home, they are 11-18 ATS and have failed to cover the spread in seven straight games.

As the underdog, the Trail Blazers have gone 27-27 ATS this season. Today, they are 12.5-point underdogs and have gone 3-0 ATS on the road.

This season, Portland has an O/U record of 27-32-1, and their games have averaged 223.2 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 224 points, and their games have averaged 224.9 points per game.

Portland’s last game was a 119-114 loss to the Timberwolves. They covered the spread as 16-point underdogs, and the O/U line for the game was 210.5.

This season, the Trail Blazers are 17-43 and are in 14th place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 8-33 and 1-13 against their division.

The Trail Blazers are 28th in the NBA in scoring at 107.6 points per game. They are 28th in home scoring at 108.5 points per game.

Portland is 30th in the NBA in true shooting percentage and 29th in field goal percentage at 44%. They are also 30th in two-point shooting percentage.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Blazers are 27th in the NBA at 35%. They are 19th in three-point attempts and 24th in made threes at 11.6 per game.

On the defensive side, Trail Blazers is currently hovering around the NBA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 115.6 points per game. Inside the arc, the Trail Blazers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 58.1% and 35.1% from three-point territory.