The Thunder and Warriors are set to face off at 10:00 ET on NBCS. The Warriors will host the game at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. The Thunder are favored in this Western conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 227.5 points.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Golden State Warriors +3

This game will be played at Chase Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 109-108 in favor of the Thunder.
  • Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.6% and knocking down 13 threes.

Can The Thunder Secure a Win at San Francisco?

Over the Thunder’s last five games, they are 4-1 and come in with an overall record of 7-4. The Thunder have a 3-1 record on the road this season, compared to their 4-3 record when playing at home.

Oklahoma City comes in with an overall ATS record of 8-3 so far this season. In their last four home games, Oklahoma City has successfully covered the spread, and they maintain an ATS record of 5-2 at home compared to 3-1 on the road.

Oklahoma City’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 123 points against the Spurs. They had an overall field goal percentage of 51.7% and made 16/20 free throws. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the scoring for the Thunder, contributing 28 points. Additionally, Josh Giddey chipped in with 18 points.

At this time, the Thunder’s defense is positioned 10th in the NBA, permitting 111.6 points per game.

On two point field goal attempts, the Thunder’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 51.1% and allowing 34.4% from beyond the arc.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen at Home?

Heading into their matchup with the Thunder, the Warriors have an opportunity to move above .500, as they are currently 6-6. In their 12 games, the Warriors have gone 5-4 against Western Conference teams and 1-2 in non-conference action.

Golden State currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 5-6 at this point. This season, Golden State has a 2-5 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 3-1 as underdogs.

Compared to their season average of 112.9 points per game, the Warriors struggled in their previous game. Against the Timberwolves, the Warriors scored 101 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 42%. The top scorer for the Warriors was Brandin Podziemski with 23 points, while Dario Saric also chipped in with 21 points.

Currently, the Warriors’ defense holds the 8th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.8 points per game.

In the terms of takeaways, Warriors are causing 14.7 turnovers per game, ranking 22nd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 28th in rejections, averaging 3.6 blocked shots each game.