Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets ATS Prediction 11/9/17

 
Thursday, 11/09/2017 at 10:35 pm OKLAHOMA CITY (4-6) at DENVER (6-5)
Results Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P FG% FT% 3PT% FG% FT% 3PT%
709OKLAHOMA CITY 216 102.5 96.8 4-6 4-6-0 2-8-0 44.4% 73.3% 34% 43.3% 78.1% 34.3%
710DENVER +1 106.5 106.1 6-5 3-8-0 4-7-0 46% 72.1% 36.7% 45.8% 77.7% 38.3%

Last Updated: 2017-11-09

thunder nuggets nba picksThe Oklahoma City Thunder (4-6) will be at Pepsi Center to square off with the Denver Nuggets (6-5) in a Northwest Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215.5 points and it can be seen on TNT at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 9, 2017.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets Betting Odds

In their last game, the Nuggets were victorious over the Brooklyn Nets, 112-104, while the Thunder lost to the Sacramento Kings, 94-86.

Denver played a nearly flawless game. They had a turnover percentage of 15.7 (worse than their season average of 13.4) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 18.8 (below their season average of 25.0). For those same stats, Brooklyn was 20.2 and 17.4, respectively. Oklahoma City, on the other hand, forced Sacramento into a turnover percentage of 21.4 (above their season average of 13.4). Denver’s Nikola Jokic played well, putting up 41 points, 12 rebounds and five assists. Oklahoma City, meanwhile, rallied around Russell Westbrook, who contributed 20 points, 12 rebounds and six assists.

Denver might have a difficult time putting up points as they battle against one of the league’s best defenses. Oklahoma City ranks second in defensive efficiency, while the Nuggets rank 15th in offensive efficiency.

Vegas tends to set the total high when the Thunder are involved, as eight of their 10 games have gone under the total. Oklahoma City holds records of 4-6 straight up (SU) and 4-6 against the spread (ATS).

Nuggets games also have a tendency to go under the total (63.6 percent). Moreover, Denver owns records of 6-5 SU and 3-8 ATS.

The Thunder edged out the Nuggets in this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the last contest, Denver won 111-105. Denver did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (26-32; 81.3 percent). Oklahoma City, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.9 vs. 11.9). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Thunder rank 18th in assists per game (21.6) while the Nuggets rank 22nd in assists allowed per game (23.8).

Oklahoma City ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.6) while Denver ranks 28th (21.7).

The Thunder average 10.6 steals per game, which ranks first in the league. The Nuggets rank 16th in steals allowed per game (8.5).

Denver ranks second in second chance points per game (15.5) while Oklahoma City ranks 15th (11.9).

Oklahoma City ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.6) while Denver ranks 15th (4.5).

The Thunder rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (32.4) while the Nuggets rank 23rd in three pointers allowed per game (31.5).

The Thunder rank second in fast break points allowed per game (7.7) while the Nuggets rank 13th (10.2).

Denver averages 45.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Oklahoma City ranks 13th in rebounds allowed per game (43.0).

Denver ranks third in points in the paint per game (50.2) while Oklahoma City ranks 20th (40.6).

In games where they allow less than 100 points, Oklahoma City is 4-2 and Denver is 2-0.

The Nuggets are 4-3 when they reach 100 points, while the Thunder are 4-2.

Denver is 2-4 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS on the road.

The total has gone under in 4 of the Nuggets’ 6 home games, while 5 of the Thunder’s 6 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

The Thunder are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 1-4.

In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 5 unders, while Denver has 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 5.7 for the season.

During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (4.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.4 points per game (4.3 above their season average).

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