2017-18 OHL Classic at Mayakoba Golf Betting Odds & Picks

Last Updated: 2017-11-07

ohl classic betting oddsThe PGA Tour is back in Playa del Carmen for this year’s OHL Classic at Mayakoba at El Camaleon Golf Club. There may not be a more appropriate name for a course on the PGA Tour circuit because “The Chameleon” is a course with three different landscapes and a lot of surprises. The beautiful backdrop of Riviera Maya can be seen across the par 71 track that will measure about 7,100 yards for the players this week.

There are only two events left after this one before the calendar flips to 2018. Next week’s RSM Classic in Sea Island, Georgia is something of a homecoming for a lot of players on the PGA Tour that own properties in that area. The other event is the Hero World Challenge, which has a much smaller purse than most fields, but will mark the return of Tiger Woods, barring injury. Most of December is comprised of downtime for the players before the Tournament of Champions in Kapalua to kick off the New Year.

Before we get to that point, though, we’ll have to take a look at this event. The OHL Classic was added to the calendar in 2007 and Fred Funk won that inaugural tournament. In the 10 years that this tournament has been played, nine have been won by Americans. Graeme McDowell won in a playoff over Jason Bohn and Russell Knox to take this event down in 2015 for the 2016 season.

A healthy purse of $7 million is up for grabs this week, but we still have one of the weaker fields as we navigate the wraparound portion of the season. We do add Rickie Fowler to the mix, thus making him the obvious favorite this week. Pat Perez tied the course record with a 263 at 21-under to win last year’s event, so we’ll see if history can be made this year. This is a shorter course than most that the players see throughout the season, so that opens up a lot of different possibilities. Most courses nowadays really cater to the long hitters, but this course levels the playing field quite a bit.

As mentioned, Rickie Fowler is this week’s favorite at 5Dimes Sportsbook at +910. This will be his first start at El Camaleon, so it should be interesting to see how he takes to the terrain. This course brushes up against jungle, mangroves, and the oceanfront near the Gulf of Mexico, so it presents a lot of different challenges. This is Fowler’s first event since the Presidents Cup. He was 26th in the Tour Championship to wrap up a 2016-17 season that featured over $6 million in earnings. He only had one win, though, and you can bet that Fowler is looking for more. We don’t have much to go on with Fowler, who hasn’t played in over a month, but we know his skill set plays well anywhere.

Reigning champion Pat Perez is +1200 this week and there is a big gap between him and the third favorites at +2000. It doesn’t hurt that Perez has played well at the start of the year. He’s been in the top 25 three times, with a win in the CIMB Classic, a top-five at the CJ Cup, and then a 24th at the WGC-HSBC at Sheshan. Perez went 68-66-62-67 en route to last year’s win. His win seemingly came out of nowhere in this tournament last year. He was 16th in 2013, but finished even par in 2014 and missed the cut in 2015. The value isn’t there at this price, but he’s in solid form, so he may be worth playing in some matchups.

Patrick Reed and Chesson Hadley are +2000. The Asian swing did not go all that well for Reed, who struggled with consistency. He finished 11th at the CJ Cup, but shot a third-round 76. At the WGC-HSBC, he shot a third-round 82 to wipe out a couple of good rounds at the start. It’s hard to bet him this week with results all over the map.

Last year’s runner-up, Gary Woodland, is +2200. Zach Johnson seems like an intriguing bet at +2500. Johnson is not a big hitter, but he is a player that has the precision to win on these shorter courses. He was 13th in the Safeway Open and did not play the Asian swing, so he is well-rested. Unfortunately, he also hasn’t played much lately, so who knows what kind of form he is in. For whatever reason, older players tend to play well here. Eight of the 10 winners have been over 30 and many have been in their late 30s. At 41, Johnson may be on the downside of his PGA Tour career, but this is a course that does fit him better than most.

Charley Hoffman is a past winner at a solid price at +2800. An even better bet may be Charles Howell III at +4500. CH3 finished seventh last year, five shots off of the pace set by Perez. He finished 17th in 2015 at 10-under. He tied for sixth back in 2013. Howell plays very well here and should find himself up among the final groups on Sunday when the pressure starts to build.

Those that are really looking for a long shot may want to look up Jason Bohn at +35000. Bohn was the runner-up two years ago and lost in the playoff with Graeme McDowell and Russell Knox. Bohn finished seventh in 2014 and could have had a shot at the win, but fired a final-round 74. He did a similar thing last year with a final-round 75. He’ll need to play better for four rounds this year, but this price is obviously good enough to make a small bet and aim for a huge pay day.

Coverage of the 2017 OHL Classic at Mayakoba will be on Golf Channel throughout the week.

Odds as of November 7, 9 a.m. ET:

Rickie Fowler +910

Pat Perez +1200

Patrick Reed +2000

Webb Simpson +2000

Chesson Hadley +2000

Gary Woodland +2200

Zach Johnson +2500

Charley Hoffman +2800

Chez Reavie +2800

Kevin Chappell +3300

Jason Kokrak +3500

Anirban Lahiri +3500

Bryson DeChambeau +4000

Byeong Hun An +4000

Luke List +4000

Ollie Schniederjans +4000

Ryan Moore +4000

Charles Howell III +4500

Graeme McDowell +4500

Scott Piercy +5000

Kevin Streelman +5000

Russell Knox +5500

Whee Kim +5500

Emiliano Grillo +6000

Danny Lee +6000

Stewart Cink +6600

Ryan Armour +6600

Patton Kizzire +6600

Sung Kang +7000

Austin Cook +7000

Jhonattan Vegas +7500

J.J. Spaun +8000

Billy Horschel +8000

Scott Brown +8000

Smylie Kaufman +9000

Nick Taylor +9000

Beau Hossler +9000

David Lingmerth +9000

Harris English +10000

Ben Martin +10000

Ben Silverman +10000

Alex Cejka +10000

Brandon Hagy +10000

Brice Garnett +10000

Aaron Wise +10000

Mackenzie Hughes +10000

Seamus Power +10000

Shawn Stefani +12500

Si-Woo Kim +12500

Vaughn Taylor +12500

Johnson Wagner +12500

Patrick Rodgers +12500

Aaron Baddeley +12500

Bronson Burgoon +12500

Tom Hoge +14000

Talor Gooch +14000

Stephan Jaeger +15000

Sam Saunders +15000

Nick Watney +15000

Peter Malnati +15000

Ryan Blaum +15000

Rob Oppenheim +15000

John Huh +15000

Jonathan Byrd +15000

Martin Flores +15000

Brian Stuard +15000

Andrew Landry +15000

Hunter Mahan +15000

Chris Stroud +15000

Camilo Villegas +17500

Carlos Ortiz +17500

C.T. Pan +17500

Jim Herman +17500

Matt Jones +17500

Brandon Harkins +17500

Retief Goosen +20000

Richy Werenski +20000

Ted Potter, Jr. +20000

Tyler Duncan +20000

Tyrone Van Aswegen +20000

J.J. Henry +20000

Derek Fathauer +20000

Geoff Ogilvy +20000

Cameron Tringale +20000

Adam Schenk +20000

Blayne Barber +22500

Brett Stegmaier +22500

Brian Gay +22500

Corey Conners +22500

Tom Lovelady +22500

Rory Sabbatini +22500

Steve Wheatcroft +25000

Troy Merritt +25000

Wyndham Clark +25000

Oscar Fraustro +25000

Keith Mitchell +25000

Fabian Gomez +25000

Billy Hurley III +25000

Andrew Putnam +25000

Abraham Ancer +25000

Denny McCarthy +27500

Jose de Jesus Rodriguez +27500

Matt Every +27500

Nicholas Lindheim +27500

Sangmoon Bae +27500

Nate Lashley +30000

Martin Piller +30000

Matt Atkins +30000

Cameron Champ +30000

Conrad Shindler +35000

Greg Chalmers +35000

Ernie Els +35000

Jason Bohn +35000

Joel Dahmen +35000

Javier Colomo +40000

Ethan Tracy +40000

Lanto Griffin +40000

Mark Wilson +40000

Sam Ryder +40000

Xinjun Zhang +40000

Zecheng Dou +40000

Kyle Thompson +45000

Jon Curran +50000

Roberto Diaz +50000

D.A. Points +50000

Andrew Yun +75000

 

-END OF 2017-18 PREVIEW-

 

The wraparound portion of the PGA Tour season features a couple of events that bring out all the big guns, but some of the players further down the rankings are going to have some shots to qualify for the majors or move up in the Official World Golf Ranking the rest of the year. This week’s event is the OHL Classic at Mayakoba, played at El Camaleon Golf Course in Playa del Carmen, Mexico. This is one of the newer annual events on the PGA Tour, as it started back in 2007.

That inaugural event was won by Fred Funk and it had a total purse of just $3.5 million. This year’s purse is $7 million, so the field may be a little stronger than in past years, but this is a time that most players opt to spend with their families or recover from the long season. Last year’s winner, Graeme McDowell, was the first non-American-born winner of the OHL Classic. The previous winners are Charley Hoffman, Harris English, John Huh, Johnson Wagner, Cameron Beckman, Mark Wilson, Brian Gay, and Fred Funk.

El Camaleon, translated at The Chameleon, certainly lives up to its name. It’s a beautiful course near the Gulf of Mexico that was designed by former world-class golfer Greg Norman. The course goes through tropical jungle, dense mangrove, and also features oceanfront holes along Riviera Maya. This event used to be the companion to the WGC-Dell Match Play, but now that it’s a standalone event in the fall part of the schedule, it brings a lot of players looking for a short vacation and the chance to win some money.

There are some really challenging par 4 holes on this course and then some that are really great birdie opportunities. Last season, players averaged more than four strokes on #1, #2, #12, #14, #16, and #18, but many of the other holes were conducive for par or better. The par 5s don’t represent a huge challenge and there are some very short par 3 holes. With the different landscapes and conditions, wind can wreak havoc on some of the holes, particularly those along the beaches.

Russell Knox is slotted as the favorite this week at +1400. 5Dimes Sportsbook is giving a lot of respect to last year’s runner-up, who finished second to Graeme McDowell after shooting par on the first playoff hole. Knox opened with a 70, but then shot 65-65-66 to get into the 73rd hole. Knox tied for 37th at 7-under in 2014, 31st at 8-under in 2013, and 30th at 4-under in 2012. It seems like last season could have been an anomaly for Knox, although he is one of the more accomplished players in this field, so he’s going to get a little bit of an inflated price.

A couple of players at +1800 are going to draw some betting attention. Emiliano Grillo is one of them. The Argentinean golfer is in this event for the first time, but he had a fantastic season and he’s played pretty well here during the wraparound events. He was 26th at the Safeway Open, so he got off to a little bit of a slow start, but he was 17th in Malaysia at the CIMB Classic and he was just outside the top 10 in 11th at the WGC-HSBC Champions, in what was a loaded field. He’s never played this event, but he’s going to be a factor with a field like this.

The other is Jon Rahm, who is going to torment the PGA Tour full-time for the first time in his career after earning his Tour card last season. Rahm finished 15th at the Safeway Open and also at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. He fired four rounds under 70 at TPC Summerlin, so he played significantly better than his finishing position would indicate. Out of eight rounds this season, Rahm has been in the 60s for six of them and hasn’t had a single round over par as of yet. It’s tough to take him at lower prices in fields like this, but he’ll be a guy carrying value in 2017 in fields with higher quality players.

Two players check in at +2500 this week and one of them should definitely be on your radar. That one is Jim Furyk. After missing a good portion of the 2015-16 season because of wrist surgery, Furyk is now healthy and he’s ready to go. He’s teeing it up for the first time during the wraparound portion and he showed that he’s still got it at several points last season. Furyk was 10th at the Wyndham at Sedgefield and fifth at the Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands. Furyk isn’t a terribly long hitter, but this par 71 measures just over 7,000 yards, so it’s all about precision.

Keegan Bradley finished tied for eighth here last year and he’s the other player at +2500. He’s been swinging it very well during the wraparound part of the season. After finishing 22nd at the Safeway Open, Bradley was sixth in Malaysia at the CIMB Classic and seventh last week at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. As mentioned, this isn’t a long course, but Bradley can shorten some of those par 4s that gave players problems last season and that may be the equalizer here for him in this event.

Looking down the board, Chris Stroud may be a guy to consider at +15000. Stroud has played this event every year since it began and he’s had some decent finishes here. Stroud missed the cut at 1-over last year, but he was 23rd with no rounds over 70 in 2014, and had three straight top-five finishes in 2013, 2012, and 2011. Recency bias seems to have altered his price this week and he could be a guy in the hunt on Sunday.

Ryo Ishikawa at +8000 may be a solid look here as well. Ishikawa missed the cut at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, but he shot two rounds of 70, so he didn’t play poorly. He was 10th at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia. The 25-year-old is fairly new to the PGA Tour and he shot a couple of 70s last weekend despite hitting only 39.3 percent of fairways. That shows that he scrambled well and putted well. This is his first start at El Camaleon, but he’ll be a guy to watch out for this season in events like this.

Golf Channel will have comprehensive weekend coverage of the OHL Classic at Mayakoba.

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