Looking to win big? The Bobcats and Rockets face off at 9:00 ET on ESPNU. The Rockets are hosting the game at Savage Arena in Toledo, OH. The over/under for this game is set at 159.5 points, and Toledo is favored by -6 vs. Ohio in a Mid-American conference matchup.


The Pick: Toledo Rockets -6

This game will be played at Savage Arena at 9:00 ET on Friday, February 16th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Rockets.
  • Not only will Toledo pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 159.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Bobcats Find a Way to Win in Toledo?

Ohio enters this game as an underdog, as they have been for four of their 24 games this season. So far, they have gone 1-3 in those games. On the road, they are 2-6, and their average scoring margin is -3.1 points per game.

Overall, Ohio has gone 13-11 this season, and they are 7-4 in Mid-American Conference games. In their last outing, they lost to Arkansas State by a score of 100-87.

As the underdog, Ohio has an ATS record of just 1-3 this season. However, their road ATS mark has improved recently, going 2-1 over their last three games. Overall, the Bobcats are just 10-13 vs. the spread this year.

Ohio’s over/under record for the season is 12-11, and the average scoring total in their games is 151.8. Today’s over/under line of 159.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (149.9). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

Ohio is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 87 points versus Arkansas State. This output is higher than their season-average of 78.8 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Jaylin Hunter, who is averaging 14.8 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Shereef Mitchell also maintains a PPG average of 13.3 heading into game.

On the defensive side, Ohio is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.4 points per game. Ohio’s three-point defense is currently 143rd in the country at 7.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.3% of their shots vs. Ohio.

Will the Rockets Make it Happen at Home?

At home this season, Toledo has been fantastic, going 9-4 with an average scoring margin of +4.9 points per game. They have won five straight at home and are 11-3 this season when favored. Through 24 games, the Rockets are 15-9, including a 9-2 record in the Mid-American Conference.

After losing their last game to Appalachian State by a score of 109-104, Toledo will look to bounce back and improve on their 7-3 record in their last 10 games at home. So far this season, they have gone 6-5 on the road compared to their 9-4 record at home.

As the favorite, Toledo has gone just 6-8 vs. the spread this season and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when they’ve been the favorite. At home, the Rockets are 6-7 ATS this year and they have a mark of 4-6 ATS in their last 10 home games. Overall, Toledo has an ATS record of 12-12 this season.

So far this season, the over/under record for Toledo games is 13-11. Today’s line of 159.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (154.8). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 179 points.

Toledo’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Appalachian State, finishing the game with a total of 104 points. Their season average is now 80.7 points per game. In terms of offense, the Rockets have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, putting them 45th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 72nd in percentage and 297th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Toledo defense is giving up an average of 77.4 points per contest. Toledo’s three-point defense is currently 173rd in the country at 7.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 49.3% of their shots vs. Toledo.