Home NFL Free NFL Picks Oakland Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Week 17 Betting Pick

Oakland Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Week 17 Betting Pick

In the final week of the NFL regular season, the Oakland Raiders (+4) are set to face off against their AFC West rival Denver Broncos (-4) at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS.

Oakland Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Betting Odds 12/29/2019

Denver is giving up 4 points in this AFC game. The Raiders are currently receiving +150 moneyline odds while the Broncos are -170. This AFC tilt could present several live betting opportunities. The over/under has been set at 41 points.

This matchup’s betting odds have shifted a bit from where they first opened. The line opened at -5 and the game’s over/under was initially set at 41.5.

The Raiders are 7-8 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against AFC West opponents. The Broncos are 6-9 SU overall and 2-3 SU against divisional foes. The Raiders have gained 0.6 units so far and are 7-8 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 7-8.

The Broncos have lost 0.6 units this season. The team is 9-6 ATS and also has an O/U record of 7-8.

The Raiders just got a 24-17 victory over the Chargers in Week 16. The passing game was on point as Derek Carr completed 26 passes on 30 attempts for 291 yards and one touchdown. DeAndre Washington (85 rushing yards on 23 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Hunter Renfrow (seven receptions, 107 yards, one TD) and Richard (four catches, 18 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Denver just earned a 27-17 win over Detroit last week. The allowed the Lions to put up 117 passing yards and 96 rushing yards. Kenny Golladay was a bright spot in the defeat, recording 66 yards on six catches for Detroit. For Denver, Drew Lock completed 25-of-33 passes for 192 yards and one touchdown. Phillip Lindsay (109 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) spearheaded the ground game in the win while DaeSean Hamilton (six receptions, 65 yards, one TD) and Tim Patrick (five catches, 48 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Oakland has run the ball on 46.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Denver has an overall rush percentage of 44.5 percent. The Raiders have produced 120 rush yards/game (including 105 per game against West opponents) and have 13 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Broncos are logging 106 rush yards per contest (99 in conference) and have 11 total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Raiders may hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has logged 4.3 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Broncos have rushed for 4.2 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 4.2 to opponents.

The Raiders have tallied 248 yards/contest through the air overall (238 per game versus conference opposition) and have 21 passing scores so far. The Broncos have recorded 215 pass yards per outing (201.0 in the AFC) and have 15 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Oakland has allowed opponents to run for an average of 100 yards and throw for 279 yards per game. Denver has allowed 112.4 yards per game on the ground and 228.7 to opposing teams in the air. The Broncos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.93 to opposing QBs, while the Raiders have given up a 7.91 ANY/A.

Carr has put up 3,396 passing yards on the year, and has completed 310-of-431 attempts with 19 passing touchdowns and eight interceptions. Carr has a 7.21 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.44 over the last two outings.

Drew Lock has accounted for 635 yards, six TDs and two INTs for Denver. His ANY/A sits at 7.38 for the season and 4.88 over his past two games.

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos Betting Prediction

SU Winner – Broncos, ATS Winner – Raiders, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Raiders offense has registered eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Broncos have put up 10 such plays.

The Oakland defense has allowed 16 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Denver has given up nine such plays.

The Oakland offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Denver has created seven such runs.

The Raiders defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Broncos have given up six such runs.

The Denver defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 38 times this season. Oakland has recorded just 30 sacks.

Oakland has averaged 3.8 yards per rush attempt across its last three outings and 3.7 over its last two.

Denver has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.2 over its past two.

Over its last three matchups, Denver is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Oakland’s previous game was set at 45. The under cashed in the team’s 24-17 victory over the Chargers.

In its last three games, Oakland is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Denver’s last match was set at 40. The over cashed in the 27-17 victory over Detroit.

Denver has won four of its last five games SU, with a -20-point loss to Kansas City on December 15th representing its one defeat over that span.

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