Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers Free Pick 05/16/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-16

Miguel Cabrera and the Detroit Tigers will look to avoid dropping their fourth consecutive game as they play host to the Oakland Athletics at Comerica Park. This AL showdown will get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to MLB Network to catch the game.

Oakland Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Detroit (getting +100 odds) is the home-team underdog to Oakland and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 9.5 runs. Odds for playing the game’s total sit at +110 for the over and -130 for the under. This game currently has a runline of Athletics -1.5 (+135) and Tigers +1.5 (-155).

The Tigers are 18-23 straight up (SU) and 19-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.6 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.3 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Athletics are 19-25 SU and have gone 17-27 against the spread. They’re down 9.3 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the year and 11.8 units ATS. Oakland has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Detroit games have had an over/under record of 18-22 so far in 2019. The Athletics have an over/under record of 22-20-2.

Chris Bassitt will get the start for Oakland. The right-handed Bassitt is 1-1 with a 2.55 ERA and 31 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and five strikeouts over six innings).

The Tigers are putting the ball in the right hand of Spencer Turnbull (2-2, 2.42 ERA), who has 44 punchouts and 18 walks as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Turnbull did not record a start against the Athletics in 2018.

As a unit, Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.46, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 5.36 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The Detroit hitters are putting up 3.4 runs per contest, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .185/.273/.350 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led the Tigers’ batters this year. Cabrera is hitting .282/.349/.342 with 42 hits, 15 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Castellanos is batting .263 with three homers, 12 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Oakland’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.51 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 6.96 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.03, along with a K/9 of 9.34.

Athletics hitters have slashed .236/.316/.396 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Oakland’s offensive production has been fueled by shortstop Marcus Semien and right fielder Stephen Piscotty. Semien is slashing .275/.369/.398 with four home runs, 18 RBIs and 24 runs scored. Piscotty is hitting .251/.321/.398 with five homers, 19 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

The Athletics have lost 12.4 units and are 10-21 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 1.1 units and are 15-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve gone under.

Oakland Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

Each offenses has logged 13 extra-base hits over its last five outings.

The Athletics have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

The Athletics have a team OPS of .712 this season and an OPS of .690 against right-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS sits at .667 overall and .645 against righties.

Detroit has recorded 15.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.4 over its last five.

The Tigers have dropped four of their last five games SU.

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