The Fighting Irish and Tar Heels are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ACCN. The Tar Heels will host the game at Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 138 points, and North Carolina is favored by -15.5 to win at home against Notre Dame.

NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH VS NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +15.5

This game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.

WHY BET THE NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Tar Heels.
  • Even though we have North Carolina winning straight-up, we like Notre Dame at +15.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will the Fighting Irish Win in Chapel Hill?

Notre Dame comes into this game as a 15.5-point underdog, and they have been the underdog in 20 of their 29 games this season. Their record as the underdog is 6-14, and they are just 2-8 on the road this season.

After a 69-62 win over Clemson, the Fighting Irish have won two games in a row. Their record this season is 12-17, and they are 6-11 in ACC play.

Notre Dame has a solid ATS mark of 15-13 this season, but their record vs. the spread is just 2-6 when they are the favored team. As the underdog, the Irish have gone 13-7 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Notre Dame has a 6-4 ATS mark.

This season, the over/under record for Notre Dame games is 9-19 and the average over/under line in their games is 133. So far, 23 of their games have finished with less points than today’s over/under line of 138. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points and the over/under record is 2-1.

Notre Dame recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 69 points against Clemson. This output exceeded their season average of 63.6 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Markus Burton who comes into today’s matchup averaging 17.3. Braeden Shrewsberry also heads into the game with a PPG average of 10.

Currently, the Fighting Irish’s defense holds the 25th rank in the nation, allowing 65.4 points per game. In their previous game vs. Clemson, the Tigers finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 62 points vs. Notre Dame.

Can the Tar Heels Grab a Win at Home?

North Carolina has been dominant at home this season, going 15-2 with an average scoring margin of +15.6 points per game. They have won their last three games at home and are 9-1 in their last 10 games at the Dean Smith Center.

Overall, the Tar Heels have gone 23-6 this season, including a 15-3 record in ACC play. They have a four-game winning streak and are coming off a 79-70 win over North Carolina State.

North Carolina has an ATS record of 16-13 this season, including a mark of 9-8 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tar Heels have gone just 4-6 vs. the spread.

North Carolina’s over/under record this season is 14-15, and today’s over/under line of 138 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (153.3). This year, 24 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 130 points, and this season, their games have averaged 151.9 points per game.

In their previous game, the Tar Heels’ offense finished with 79 points, which is right in line with their current average of 81.4 points per contest. RJ Davis is leading the team in scoring at 21.4 points per contest. Armando Bacot has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14 going into the game.

Currently, the Tar Heels’ defense holds the 123rd rank in the nation, allowing 70.4 points per game. North Carolina’s three-point defense is currently 132nd in the country at 7.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.8% of their shots vs. North Carolina.