The college football season continues with Week 11 games on Saturday, November 12, and here you can check out the best Fighting Irish vs. Midshipmen betting pick and odds.
Notre Dame is hoping for the fourth straight victory when they visit Navy at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. The Fighting Irish are -16.5 favorites on Bovada Sportsbook, while the total is set at 41.5 points. These non-conference rivals have met once in 2021, and the Fighting Irish won 34-6 at home.
Fighting Irish handed the first loss of the season to Clemson
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-3-0, 5-4-0 ATS) recorded their third consecutive win, but the latest was the most precious one as they beat the unbeaten Clemson Tigers at home. Notre Dame dominated the game from the start and after Prince Kollie’s return of a blocked punt for a touchdown, it went downhill for Clemson. The Irish’s defense was exceptional; Benjamin Morrison had a 96-yard pick-six in the fourth quarter to make it 28-0 for the hosts, who won 35-14 in the end.
Drew Pyne completed nine of 17 passes for 85 yards and one touchdown. Michael Mayer caught that lone TD pass, but the Fighting Irish didn’t care about their pass offense much and focused on running the ball. They were extremely successful in it, recording 263 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 47 carries. Logan Diggs and Audric Estime both had 100+ yards as they combined for 218 and a TD on 35 touches, while Pyne also scored a rushing touchdown. Defensively, JD Bertrand led all the players with 12 tackles.
QB Tyler Buchner (shoulder) and RB Avery Davis (ACL) are out for the season.
Midshipmen didn’t have a chance against Cincinnati
The Navy Midshipmen (3-6-0, 5-4-0 ATS) suffered the third loss in the last four games as they couldn’t get their offense going against the Cincinnati Reds. Navy scored only one touchdown in a 20-10 loss and it came late in the third quarter, after which neither side scored. The Bears managed to limit Navy’s fantastic run offense and kept them below 180 yards, which proved to be an excellent recipe for a win.
Maasai Maynor completed three of five passes for 81 yards. Although he had -9 rushing yards on six carries, Maynor did score the lone TD for the Midshipmen. Xavier Arline and Anton Hall Jr. combined for 145 yards on 28 rush attempts. On defense, John Marshall led the team with ten tackles and added a sack.
QB Tai Lavatai suffered a season-ending injury to his left knee two weeks ago.
- 12-5 ATS in the last 17 games overall
- 11-5 ATS in the last 16 non-conference games
- 10-2 ATS in the last 12 games following a straight-up win
- 2-7 ATS in the last nine non-conference games
- 2-6-1 ATS in the last nine vs. Independents
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Navy Midshipmen Pick
Navy has the top 10 run offense and top 10 run defense, so Notre Dame, who also prefers running over passing, will not have an easy job here. Still, I am backing the Fighting Irish to prevail on defense and perhaps exploit the Midshipmen’s lenient secondary which is allowing 275.0 yards per game to the opposing receivers. That said, I expect Drew Pyne to be much more active when it comes to his passing, while Michael Mayer TE could easily have a 100+ yard display on Saturday. Notre Dame managed to stop Clemson and I have no doubt they will follow Cincy’s recipe from the last week and contain Navy’s high-octane run offense.
Pick: Take the Fighting Irish at -15.5 (-115)
Even though Notre Dame should have more passing yards than they had against Clemson, I still expect both rivals to run the ball quite often. Both teams like to have possession and control the game clock, which will lead to a low-scoring encounter. Under is 5-2 in the Fighting Irish’s last seven vs. a team with a losing record; Under is 5-0 in the Midshipmen’s previous five non-conference games, while Under is 4-0 in Navy’s last four vs. a team with a winning record.
Pick: Go Under 42.5 points (-133)